Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 0.4 Standard Deviation: 0.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 RMSE: 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 RMAE: 15.8 12.0 19.0 5.9 13.9 15.5 10.5 9.7 12.5 CORR: 0.956 0.955 0.932 0.995 0.957 0.957 0.977 0.984 0.973 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 0.4 Standard Deviation: 0.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 RMSE: 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 RMAE: 18.4 14.6 23.3 9.1 16.5 18.8 13.0 12.3 15.6 CORR: 0.940 0.931 0.931 0.994 0.936 0.939 0.969 0.981 0.964 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 0.7 Standard Deviation: 0.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 RMSE: 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 RMAE: 21.0 22.5 25.6 8.7 21.7 22.3 16.5 13.5 18.3 CORR: 0.930 0.902 0.917 0.989 0.919 0.924 0.957 0.973 0.951 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 1.7 Standard Deviation: 1.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.2 0.3 0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 RMAE: 35.0 29.7 51.9 27.6 32.2 37.1 28.7 29.0 33.0 CORR: 0.693 0.684 0.588 0.847 0.691 0.684 0.800 0.830 0.774 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 3.1 Standard Deviation: 1.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 RMAE: 30.5 25.7 36.6 17.7 28.1 30.7 23.7 22.9 26.3 CORR: 0.846 0.805 0.783 0.935 0.836 0.836 0.893 0.913 0.882 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 4.2 Standard Deviation: 1.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.8 RMAE: 19.7 19.7 22.8 11.4 19.6 20.6 15.4 13.6 17.1 CORR: 0.803 0.783 0.742 0.940 0.798 0.801 0.877 0.906 0.863 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 4.9 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.0 0.1 0.1 -0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 RMAE: 13.4 12.5 15.6 10.2 13.0 13.7 11.0 10.6 11.8 CORR: 0.867 0.854 0.857 0.940 0.863 0.864 0.906 0.922 0.897 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 4.8 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.0 -0.2 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 RMSE: 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 RMAE: 12.6 12.5 16.7 7.6 12.6 13.0 10.5 9.6 11.3 CORR: 0.912 0.901 0.898 0.975 0.909 0.910 0.945 0.959 0.937 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 4.8 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 RMSE: 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 RMAE: 13.2 12.3 17.9 9.9 12.7 14.4 11.1 10.6 12.6 CORR: 0.907 0.899 0.868 0.954 0.905 0.904 0.937 0.947 0.929 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 3.6 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.7 0.6 1.1 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.9 1.1 1.2 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.8 RMAE: 23.6 25.3 38.1 14.4 24.2 27.4 19.2 16.7 22.4 CORR: 0.838 0.779 0.747 0.938 0.822 0.824 0.888 0.915 0.875 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.2 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 -0.2 0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 0.1 -0.1 MAE: 1.2 1.0 1.4 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.1 RMSE: 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 RMAE: 55.6 38.5 67.7 56.6 46.9 52.8 44.8 48.6 49.5 CORR: 0.432 0.427 0.285 0.568 0.444 0.440 0.603 0.639 0.590 Pval: 0.006 0.007 0.079 0.000 0.005 0.005 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 0.9 Standard Deviation: 1.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.5 0.4 0.2 -0.2 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 0.0 MAE: 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 RMSE: 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 RMAE: 48.2 63.5 55.9 53.5 55.6 49.7 49.0 42.2 45.1 CORR: 0.381 0.345 0.270 0.395 0.395 0.367 0.505 0.461 0.484 Pval: 0.017 0.031 0.097 0.013 0.013 0.021 0.001 0.003 0.002 ------------------------------------------------