Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 0.4 Standard Deviation: 0.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.4 0.6 0.0 -0.2 0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.5 RMSE: 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 RMAE: 65.3 100.0 12.5 25.5 82.6 59.3 62.5 43.7 50.0 CORR: 0.224 -99.000 NaN 0.903 0.224 0.224 0.897 0.897 0.897 Pval: 0.166 -99.000 NaN 0.000 0.166 0.166 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 0.4 Standard Deviation: 0.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.4 0.6 0.0 -0.2 0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.5 RMSE: 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 RMAE: 60.0 100.0 12.5 34.7 80.0 57.5 64.9 47.3 51.8 CORR: 0.329 -99.000 0.002 0.855 0.329 0.329 0.814 0.814 0.814 Pval: 0.038 -99.000 0.988 0.000 0.038 0.038 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 0.7 Standard Deviation: 0.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.1 0.3 -0.0 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 RMSE: 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 RMAE: 34.0 36.0 20.0 36.5 34.8 29.9 34.5 33.9 30.9 CORR: 0.528 0.507 0.000 0.726 0.533 0.533 0.676 0.701 0.676 Pval: 0.000 0.001 1.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 1.7 Standard Deviation: 1.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.8 RMAE: 37.4 36.9 47.7 23.0 37.2 39.3 30.7 27.7 33.9 CORR: 0.575 0.521 0.465 0.853 0.557 0.570 0.742 0.810 0.721 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 3.1 Standard Deviation: 1.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 0.3 0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.2 1.1 1.3 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.0 RMSE: 1.4 1.5 1.4 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.0 1.2 RMAE: 50.0 45.6 59.0 25.0 47.8 51.5 38.8 35.3 43.2 CORR: 0.336 0.195 0.302 0.792 0.303 0.323 0.665 0.725 0.613 Pval: 0.034 0.228 0.058 0.000 0.058 0.042 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 4.2 Standard Deviation: 1.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.3 0.6 -0.1 -0.2 0.1 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.2 1.1 1.5 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMSE: 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.4 RMAE: 31.8 27.8 45.1 23.2 29.6 33.8 26.7 26.5 30.3 CORR: 0.161 0.128 0.012 0.680 0.146 0.108 0.617 0.688 0.529 Pval: 0.320 0.433 0.940 0.000 0.367 0.506 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 4.9 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 MAE: 1.3 1.2 1.7 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 RMSE: 1.6 1.7 2.1 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.6 RMAE: 29.6 25.7 38.0 25.8 27.6 29.1 26.5 27.3 27.8 CORR: 0.149 0.059 0.056 0.423 0.092 0.101 0.338 0.427 0.242 Pval: 0.359 0.718 0.733 0.006 0.571 0.535 0.033 0.006 0.132 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 4.8 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.2 1.1 1.5 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.1 RMSE: 1.5 1.6 1.9 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 RMAE: 29.2 26.7 37.0 25.1 28.0 29.7 26.1 25.9 27.6 CORR: 0.482 0.398 0.344 0.595 0.461 0.459 0.556 0.592 0.544 Pval: 0.002 0.011 0.030 0.000 0.003 0.003 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 4.8 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.1 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 MAE: 1.1 1.1 1.4 0.8 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.9 1.0 RMSE: 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.3 RMAE: 27.2 25.5 35.0 20.0 26.4 28.6 23.7 23.0 26.2 CORR: 0.598 0.594 0.429 0.823 0.597 0.585 0.740 0.784 0.712 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.006 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 3.6 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.1 1.0 1.5 0.7 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.9 1.0 RMSE: 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.2 RMAE: 39.6 32.7 52.9 27.5 35.8 40.9 31.3 31.3 35.7 CORR: 0.547 0.528 0.179 0.827 0.540 0.533 0.717 0.782 0.702 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.269 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.2 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.3 0.4 0.6 -0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 MAE: 1.3 1.2 1.5 2.0 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 RMSE: 1.5 1.6 1.7 2.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.5 RMAE: 58.7 48.0 82.4 103.8 53.2 60.5 57.9 64.8 61.2 CORR: 0.253 0.070 0.200 0.152 0.200 0.208 0.230 0.212 0.307 Pval: 0.120 0.672 0.223 0.354 0.222 0.204 0.158 0.195 0.057 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 0.9 Standard Deviation: 1.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.9 1.1 0.6 -0.4 0.1 -0.1 0.3 0.2 MAE: 0.9 0.9 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.0 RMSE: 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.2 RMAE: 45.6 100.0 60.2 103.5 72.4 35.3 61.7 58.8 42.4 CORR: 0.310 -99.000 NaN 0.120 0.310 0.310 0.201 0.201 0.201 Pval: 0.055 -99.000 NaN 0.467 0.055 0.055 0.220 0.220 0.220 ------------------------------------------------