Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 2.0 Standard Deviation: 1.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 RMSE: 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 RMAE: 24.5 21.1 30.9 16.8 22.3 24.3 17.8 16.5 19.4 CORR: 0.904 0.884 0.867 0.962 0.900 0.900 0.938 0.951 0.930 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 3.5 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.0 0.4 0.0 -0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.8 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.7 RMSE: 0.9 1.1 1.1 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.8 RMAE: 26.8 24.3 39.2 16.2 25.5 29.8 21.4 19.9 25.2 CORR: 0.798 0.734 0.751 0.941 0.779 0.788 0.868 0.911 0.858 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 4.9 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 1.0 1.0 1.1 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.8 RMAE: 17.7 14.9 22.3 9.3 16.3 18.1 12.9 11.9 14.9 CORR: 0.807 0.791 0.752 0.949 0.802 0.802 0.888 0.920 0.872 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 6.6 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 0.2 0.0 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.7 RMAE: 11.9 11.2 14.9 6.3 11.5 12.5 9.2 8.2 10.4 CORR: 0.879 0.869 0.852 0.965 0.877 0.875 0.925 0.942 0.913 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 8.0 Standard Deviation: 2.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.3 0.0 -0.0 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 MAE: 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 RMSE: 1.9 1.9 2.2 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.9 RMAE: 20.8 19.3 24.8 20.7 20.0 21.0 20.1 20.6 20.8 CORR: 0.543 0.539 NaN 0.569 0.542 0.542 0.561 0.569 0.561 Pval: 0.000 0.000 NaN 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 9.0 Standard Deviation: 2.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.0 0.9 1.2 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.8 RMSE: 1.1 1.2 1.3 0.6 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.9 RMAE: 11.6 10.8 13.7 5.0 11.2 11.6 8.5 7.4 9.5 CORR: 0.882 0.863 0.838 0.974 0.878 0.878 0.935 0.953 0.924 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 8.5 Standard Deviation: 2.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.2 0.2 -0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 -0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.0 0.9 1.1 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.8 RMSE: 1.2 1.4 1.4 0.7 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMAE: 13.1 12.5 15.3 7.8 12.8 13.3 10.5 9.5 11.1 CORR: 0.862 0.835 0.828 0.958 0.856 0.855 0.915 0.937 0.903 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 7.0 Standard Deviation: 2.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.3 -0.0 -0.0 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 MAE: 1.6 1.5 2.3 1.6 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.7 RMSE: 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 RMAE: 28.6 24.2 39.5 28.5 26.4 29.7 26.2 27.5 28.9 CORR: 0.413 0.327 0.274 0.432 0.383 0.374 0.425 0.449 0.415 Pval: 0.009 0.042 0.091 0.006 0.016 0.019 0.007 0.004 0.009 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 5.6 Standard Deviation: 2.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.4 1.4 1.9 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.2 1.2 1.4 RMSE: 1.8 1.8 2.2 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.6 RMAE: 32.7 30.1 41.7 26.6 31.4 34.1 26.4 25.1 29.4 CORR: 0.546 0.529 0.330 0.667 0.541 0.524 0.679 0.708 0.654 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.040 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 4.0 Standard Deviation: 2.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.4 1.2 1.7 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.3 RMSE: 1.7 2.1 2.0 1.4 1.8 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.6 RMAE: 50.3 41.1 65.0 36.2 45.5 50.3 39.3 38.5 44.0 CORR: 0.496 0.419 0.247 0.717 0.462 0.454 0.631 0.733 0.613 Pval: 0.001 0.008 0.130 0.000 0.003 0.004 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.6 Standard Deviation: 1.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.6 -0.2 0.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 MAE: 1.4 1.2 1.7 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.3 RMSE: 1.7 1.8 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.5 RMAE: 62.5 38.4 79.1 75.8 48.2 56.9 53.1 63.8 57.2 CORR: 0.486 0.484 0.247 0.549 0.503 0.506 0.617 0.616 0.613 Pval: 0.002 0.002 0.129 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 1.6 Standard Deviation: 1.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 0.2 0.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 0.1 0.0 MAE: 1.0 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 RMSE: 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 RMAE: 45.1 42.0 71.2 60.5 43.5 51.7 45.2 48.0 50.6 CORR: 0.415 0.313 0.265 0.373 0.386 0.371 0.507 0.476 0.479 Pval: 0.009 0.052 0.103 0.019 0.015 0.020 0.001 0.002 0.002 ------------------------------------------------