Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 2.0 Standard Deviation: 1.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.2 0.2 0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.9 0.8 1.2 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.8 RMSE: 1.1 1.2 1.3 0.9 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 1.0 RMAE: 44.5 41.6 63.1 40.2 42.5 47.0 39.0 38.2 43.0 CORR: 0.447 0.377 0.266 0.731 0.422 0.421 0.613 0.689 0.581 Pval: 0.004 0.017 0.098 0.000 0.007 0.007 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 3.5 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.2 1.1 1.4 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.1 RMSE: 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.3 RMAE: 49.5 48.9 57.7 36.5 49.2 51.6 44.2 41.8 47.1 CORR: 0.381 0.329 0.335 0.676 0.362 0.375 0.557 0.632 0.533 Pval: 0.015 0.038 0.035 0.000 0.022 0.017 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 4.9 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.3 1.2 1.4 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.0 1.0 1.1 RMSE: 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.1 1.6 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.4 RMAE: 32.5 29.7 34.9 20.2 31.1 32.1 26.3 24.7 28.1 CORR: 0.292 0.241 0.122 0.764 0.269 0.279 0.614 0.737 0.606 Pval: 0.068 0.134 0.452 0.000 0.093 0.081 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 6.6 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.0 0.6 -0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.0 -0.0 0.2 MAE: 1.3 1.2 1.6 0.7 1.2 1.3 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMSE: 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.0 1.6 1.6 1.3 1.1 1.4 RMAE: 20.9 20.0 27.1 13.0 20.4 21.6 17.3 16.1 18.6 CORR: 0.442 0.319 0.319 0.841 0.405 0.395 0.748 0.823 0.672 Pval: 0.004 0.045 0.045 0.000 0.010 0.012 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 8.0 Standard Deviation: 2.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.0 0.8 -0.1 0.0 0.3 -0.0 -0.1 0.2 MAE: 1.5 1.5 1.9 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.4 RMSE: 1.9 2.0 2.2 1.5 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.6 1.8 RMAE: 21.2 20.7 27.9 14.7 20.9 23.0 18.1 16.9 20.4 CORR: 0.506 0.447 0.400 0.730 0.494 0.491 0.665 0.698 0.628 Pval: 0.001 0.004 0.011 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 9.0 Standard Deviation: 2.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.5 0.7 -0.2 -0.2 0.1 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 MAE: 1.7 1.6 2.2 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.6 RMSE: 2.3 2.4 2.6 1.9 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.0 2.1 RMAE: 20.6 18.4 27.5 16.5 19.5 21.5 17.1 16.7 19.2 CORR: 0.354 0.316 0.155 0.621 0.340 0.331 0.535 0.612 0.499 Pval: 0.025 0.047 0.340 0.000 0.032 0.037 0.000 0.000 0.001 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 8.5 Standard Deviation: 2.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.3 -0.5 -0.0 -0.2 -0.3 -0.1 -0.0 -0.2 MAE: 1.7 1.6 2.7 1.1 1.6 1.8 1.3 1.3 1.6 RMSE: 2.3 2.4 3.1 1.6 2.3 2.3 1.9 1.8 2.0 RMAE: 22.7 19.8 34.7 14.6 21.2 23.5 17.4 16.8 20.3 CORR: 0.401 0.344 0.173 0.771 0.381 0.368 0.640 0.721 0.579 Pval: 0.010 0.030 0.285 0.000 0.015 0.019 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 7.0 Standard Deviation: 2.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.4 0.5 0.0 -0.2 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.6 1.5 1.9 2.9 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.6 RMSE: 2.1 2.2 2.3 3.7 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.4 2.0 RMAE: 26.9 22.9 34.1 48.0 24.7 26.9 25.5 29.1 26.1 CORR: 0.447 0.424 0.347 0.164 0.439 0.428 0.403 0.294 0.460 Pval: 0.004 0.007 0.030 0.320 0.005 0.007 0.011 0.069 0.003 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 5.6 Standard Deviation: 2.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.3 0.7 -0.1 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0.1 MAE: 1.4 1.3 1.9 2.1 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.5 RMSE: 1.9 1.9 2.2 2.7 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 RMAE: 31.5 26.6 46.0 47.5 28.6 33.9 31.2 35.3 33.9 CORR: 0.502 0.490 0.260 0.108 0.498 0.481 0.508 0.366 0.508 Pval: 0.001 0.002 0.110 0.512 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.022 0.001 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 4.0 Standard Deviation: 2.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 -0.1 0.2 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.1 -0.0 MAE: 1.4 1.3 1.6 1.9 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.4 RMSE: 1.7 1.9 1.9 2.4 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.7 RMAE: 48.6 38.6 54.2 71.5 43.2 46.5 48.1 54.6 48.8 CORR: 0.470 0.440 0.322 0.267 0.459 0.461 0.529 0.433 0.524 Pval: 0.003 0.005 0.046 0.100 0.003 0.003 0.001 0.006 0.001 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.6 Standard Deviation: 1.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 0.2 0.2 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 0.1 0.0 MAE: 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.9 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 RMSE: 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.5 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.8 RMAE: 67.7 56.5 90.6 105.5 62.0 68.4 70.9 78.3 71.8 CORR: 0.262 0.144 0.173 0.092 0.221 0.208 0.233 0.175 0.303 Pval: 0.107 0.382 0.294 0.579 0.177 0.204 0.154 0.286 0.061 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 1.6 Standard Deviation: 1.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.4 0.7 0.2 -0.2 0.1 -0.1 0.1 0.1 MAE: 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 RMSE: 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 RMAE: 45.9 35.6 67.1 59.9 39.9 44.7 42.1 47.0 44.6 CORR: 0.304 0.073 0.120 0.073 0.220 0.201 0.341 0.251 0.305 Pval: 0.060 0.657 0.466 0.660 0.179 0.220 0.033 0.123 0.059 ------------------------------------------------