Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 3.8 Standard Deviation: 8.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.9 0.1 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.5 MAE: 2.1 1.8 2.3 0.4 1.9 2.0 1.4 1.2 1.6 RMSE: 3.1 3.5 3.3 0.7 3.2 3.1 2.2 1.7 2.4 RMAE: 24.5 20.3 38.0 20.4 22.1 25.5 14.8 12.3 17.3 CORR: 0.943 0.933 0.928 0.996 0.943 0.947 0.976 0.985 0.972 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 4.3 Standard Deviation: 8.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.6 0.2 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.5 MAE: 1.7 1.8 2.2 0.4 1.7 1.9 1.2 1.0 1.5 RMSE: 2.9 3.2 3.1 0.8 3.0 2.9 2.1 1.6 2.3 RMAE: 35.5 34.0 38.3 16.3 34.7 35.4 26.6 23.2 29.1 CORR: 0.949 0.943 0.946 0.996 0.947 0.951 0.976 0.984 0.972 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 9.4 Standard Deviation: 11.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.5 0.5 1.1 -0.0 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.5 MAE: 2.7 2.8 3.1 2.1 2.8 2.8 2.5 2.4 2.6 RMSE: 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.1 3.8 3.7 3.4 3.2 3.5 RMAE: 46.3 48.1 47.7 27.3 47.2 45.9 40.2 36.3 41.0 CORR: 0.953 0.947 0.951 0.966 0.950 0.952 0.959 0.963 0.959 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 21.5 Standard Deviation: 14.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.2 -0.3 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 MAE: 5.1 4.5 6.9 4.5 4.8 5.3 4.5 4.6 5.0 RMSE: 6.6 7.3 7.7 5.6 6.8 6.8 6.1 5.8 6.2 RMAE: 53.2 34.1 70.7 28.8 43.5 52.1 38.1 40.2 45.7 CORR: 0.891 0.867 0.850 0.924 0.885 0.887 0.909 0.918 0.906 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 37.2 Standard Deviation: 19.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.1 2.8 -0.5 -0.1 0.9 -0.2 -0.2 0.6 MAE: 5.5 5.1 9.0 4.7 5.3 6.0 4.9 4.8 5.4 RMSE: 7.4 7.6 10.2 5.9 7.4 7.6 6.7 6.4 7.0 RMAE: 20.7 18.6 37.2 15.2 19.7 23.7 17.5 17.0 20.5 CORR: 0.922 0.918 0.857 0.951 0.921 0.917 0.937 0.943 0.932 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 52.2 Standard Deviation: 21.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -1.6 0.5 -0.2 -0.8 -0.4 -0.6 -0.1 -0.3 MAE: 6.8 6.3 8.9 5.1 6.5 7.1 6.0 5.9 6.5 RMSE: 8.2 9.0 9.9 6.1 8.4 8.4 7.4 6.9 7.6 RMAE: 14.9 13.5 19.6 11.2 14.1 15.6 13.1 12.9 14.2 CORR: 0.921 0.906 0.885 0.957 0.917 0.917 0.937 0.945 0.932 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 61.2 Standard Deviation: 22.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 1.5 -0.4 -0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 -0.4 0.1 MAE: 7.0 6.5 9.4 3.9 6.7 7.2 5.3 4.8 5.9 RMSE: 8.7 9.3 11.0 5.2 8.9 9.0 7.0 6.2 7.5 RMAE: 14.3 14.2 19.5 6.6 14.2 15.3 10.7 9.2 12.2 CORR: 0.921 0.912 0.894 0.973 0.919 0.918 0.951 0.962 0.943 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 65.0 Standard Deviation: 28.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 1.5 -2.5 -0.7 0.7 -0.3 0.2 -0.4 -0.4 MAE: 7.6 7.0 8.8 5.8 7.3 7.7 6.4 6.2 6.9 RMSE: 9.4 9.9 10.3 7.4 9.5 9.5 8.4 7.9 8.6 RMAE: 17.1 16.2 18.6 13.9 16.7 17.1 15.1 14.9 15.8 CORR: 0.943 0.938 0.935 0.965 0.942 0.942 0.955 0.960 0.952 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 64.0 Standard Deviation: 27.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.6 -4.9 -0.8 0.3 -1.4 -0.1 -0.4 -1.3 MAE: 9.5 8.9 13.8 6.1 9.2 10.1 7.6 7.0 8.5 RMSE: 11.9 13.7 15.7 7.3 12.4 12.4 9.8 8.6 10.4 RMAE: 20.5 20.7 26.8 12.2 20.5 21.4 16.8 14.9 18.1 CORR: 0.899 0.864 0.841 0.964 0.891 0.892 0.934 0.949 0.926 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 48.9 Standard Deviation: 26.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.2 -3.6 -0.1 -0.1 -1.3 -0.1 -0.1 -1.0 MAE: 7.7 7.0 10.6 4.6 7.3 8.1 6.0 5.5 6.7 RMSE: 9.9 10.4 12.1 5.9 10.0 10.2 8.0 7.0 8.5 RMAE: 20.9 18.5 28.4 11.4 19.5 21.3 15.2 13.6 16.8 CORR: 0.927 0.919 0.908 0.975 0.925 0.925 0.954 0.964 0.948 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 28.0 Standard Deviation: 21.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -1.9 -1.4 0.4 -1.0 -1.1 -0.5 0.2 -0.7 MAE: 11.2 10.2 16.4 8.3 10.6 12.1 9.4 9.1 10.8 RMSE: 14.1 15.1 18.6 10.5 14.3 14.7 12.5 11.7 13.2 RMAE: 76.3 91.6 78.3 78.8 83.1 74.8 78.1 72.3 73.8 CORR: 0.756 0.716 0.554 0.873 0.747 0.731 0.818 0.841 0.795 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 9.5 Standard Deviation: 14.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.6 -0.8 1.6 0.3 -0.1 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.4 MAE: 7.3 7.0 8.3 4.7 7.1 7.4 6.3 5.9 6.7 RMSE: 10.5 11.0 11.4 7.3 10.7 10.5 9.1 8.4 9.4 RMAE: 78.2 57.7 110.9 70.4 67.3 79.8 67.6 72.5 76.1 CORR: 0.712 0.686 0.674 0.874 0.706 0.709 0.811 0.838 0.786 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------