Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 25.3 Standard Deviation: 16.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.9 2.3 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.8 MAE: 12.1 11.3 15.3 7.8 11.6 12.7 9.8 9.1 10.9 RMSE: 14.6 15.2 17.3 9.8 14.7 14.8 12.2 11.1 12.8 RMAE: 147.9 162.5 148.3 76.5 155.0 152.2 125.4 107.4 129.8 CORR: 0.499 0.460 0.214 0.815 0.487 0.485 0.709 0.778 0.691 Pval: 0.001 0.003 0.185 0.000 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 41.5 Standard Deviation: 21.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.1 -3.2 1.1 -0.1 -1.1 0.3 0.6 -0.5 MAE: 13.4 13.0 17.8 10.8 13.2 14.1 12.0 11.7 12.7 RMSE: 17.4 17.9 21.8 14.7 17.5 18.0 15.8 15.2 16.5 RMAE: 55.0 50.0 70.6 46.3 52.4 56.4 49.2 49.6 52.6 CORR: 0.562 0.545 0.388 0.717 0.556 0.529 0.662 0.699 0.622 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.013 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 61.6 Standard Deviation: 23.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.2 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.6 MAE: 15.3 14.8 16.1 11.1 15.0 15.2 13.5 12.9 13.9 RMSE: 18.7 19.6 19.2 13.7 18.9 18.8 16.4 15.4 16.9 RMAE: 32.0 32.4 33.9 20.0 32.1 32.4 27.6 25.3 28.9 CORR: 0.592 0.534 0.566 0.807 0.580 0.590 0.717 0.753 0.695 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 82.7 Standard Deviation: 26.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -4.8 0.5 -0.0 -2.4 -1.4 -1.6 -0.0 -1.1 MAE: 16.0 15.1 19.9 11.5 15.5 16.3 13.3 12.5 14.2 RMSE: 21.0 22.5 24.0 14.1 21.4 21.2 17.5 15.8 18.3 RMAE: 22.3 19.9 27.6 16.5 21.0 22.4 18.4 17.8 19.7 CORR: 0.615 0.562 0.511 0.848 0.602 0.603 0.770 0.818 0.736 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 102.2 Standard Deviation: 35.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.6 3.3 1.3 -0.3 0.9 0.2 0.7 1.0 MAE: 21.4 20.1 26.6 18.1 20.7 22.2 19.0 18.5 20.5 RMSE: 27.2 28.9 31.5 22.6 27.6 27.7 24.6 23.3 25.3 RMAE: 24.6 24.3 30.8 22.4 24.4 26.1 22.9 22.3 24.5 CORR: 0.642 0.582 0.535 0.773 0.628 0.626 0.730 0.766 0.706 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 116.2 Standard Deviation: 35.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 1.8 16.1 -2.7 0.9 6.0 -0.3 -1.4 3.8 MAE: 22.1 21.3 28.6 18.8 21.7 23.1 20.0 19.4 21.3 RMSE: 28.4 29.3 34.2 25.9 28.7 29.4 26.3 25.7 27.1 RMAE: 21.4 21.2 29.4 18.1 21.3 23.3 19.5 18.7 21.3 CORR: 0.582 0.563 0.556 0.676 0.577 0.576 0.665 0.691 0.643 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 110.1 Standard Deviation: 35.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 1.9 3.8 -1.1 1.0 1.9 0.3 -0.5 1.2 MAE: 24.7 23.3 28.0 13.6 24.0 25.1 18.9 17.1 21.0 RMSE: 29.2 31.3 32.3 17.9 29.8 29.6 23.9 21.4 25.2 RMAE: 27.4 26.6 30.5 14.7 27.0 27.9 21.3 18.8 23.4 CORR: 0.566 0.512 0.479 0.863 0.549 0.555 0.749 0.816 0.711 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 93.2 Standard Deviation: 35.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.8 2.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.9 MAE: 23.8 22.9 25.9 17.5 23.4 23.9 19.9 18.6 20.7 RMSE: 29.4 31.5 31.6 23.4 29.9 29.7 25.6 23.9 26.3 RMAE: 33.6 32.5 35.2 26.1 33.1 33.4 29.0 27.6 29.8 CORR: 0.560 0.512 0.517 0.752 0.544 0.555 0.697 0.757 0.676 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 73.3 Standard Deviation: 31.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 1.4 0.2 -0.1 0.4 -0.0 0.1 0.3 MAE: 20.2 19.0 23.4 19.6 19.4 20.7 18.9 18.9 19.9 RMSE: 25.6 26.7 27.2 24.7 25.8 25.7 24.1 23.7 24.4 RMAE: 37.4 33.8 43.8 36.5 35.4 38.1 34.1 34.3 36.3 CORR: 0.571 0.564 0.487 0.618 0.569 0.565 0.635 0.652 0.622 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 52.2 Standard Deviation: 28.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -3.2 10.9 -4.1 -1.6 2.6 -2.4 -2.0 0.9 MAE: 18.9 18.1 21.7 17.9 18.5 19.1 17.1 16.7 17.6 RMSE: 24.0 24.9 27.2 23.0 24.2 24.4 22.5 22.0 22.8 RMAE: 53.1 48.5 78.2 46.1 50.8 59.1 45.7 44.6 52.2 CORR: 0.540 0.508 0.488 0.632 0.531 0.527 0.618 0.641 0.602 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 32.5 Standard Deviation: 25.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -5.8 8.6 -2.5 -2.9 0.9 -2.8 -1.3 0.1 MAE: 20.4 18.8 22.6 12.8 19.6 20.3 15.6 14.8 17.1 RMSE: 24.1 26.6 26.4 16.2 24.8 24.3 20.3 18.0 20.8 RMAE: 135.5 90.5 217.6 69.3 112.9 146.6 90.9 93.6 121.6 CORR: 0.275 0.176 0.149 0.775 0.231 0.257 0.632 0.744 0.623 Pval: 0.091 0.285 0.365 0.000 0.158 0.115 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 18.6 Standard Deviation: 18.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -4.7 6.5 2.2 -2.4 0.6 -0.8 1.1 1.0 MAE: 14.1 13.1 17.0 12.6 13.6 14.3 12.7 12.6 13.6 RMSE: 17.5 18.7 19.5 15.3 17.8 17.6 15.9 15.3 16.4 RMAE: 166.9 132.2 278.7 221.1 149.2 189.4 168.9 187.9 194.8 CORR: 0.343 0.253 0.219 0.583 0.319 0.319 0.563 0.613 0.510 Pval: 0.032 0.120 0.179 0.000 0.048 0.048 0.000 0.000 0.001 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