Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 0.4 Standard Deviation: 0.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 RMSE: 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 RMAE: 15.8 12.0 19.0 5.9 13.9 15.5 10.5 9.7 12.5 CORR: 0.956 0.955 0.932 0.995 0.957 0.957 0.977 0.984 0.973 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 0.4 Standard Deviation: 0.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 RMSE: 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 RMAE: 17.5 14.9 22.8 10.5 16.2 18.4 13.2 12.4 15.6 CORR: 0.945 0.942 0.931 0.992 0.946 0.945 0.972 0.980 0.967 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 0.7 Standard Deviation: 0.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 RMSE: 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 RMAE: 21.0 22.5 25.6 8.7 21.7 22.3 16.5 13.5 18.3 CORR: 0.930 0.902 0.917 0.989 0.919 0.924 0.957 0.973 0.951 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 1.7 Standard Deviation: 1.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 RMSE: 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 RMAE: 23.2 20.3 30.5 20.2 21.7 23.3 19.6 19.3 21.2 CORR: 0.879 0.854 0.827 0.926 0.873 0.873 0.906 0.918 0.899 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 3.1 Standard Deviation: 1.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 RMAE: 30.5 25.7 36.6 16.6 28.1 30.7 22.7 21.5 25.9 CORR: 0.846 0.805 0.782 0.941 0.836 0.836 0.897 0.920 0.886 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 4.2 Standard Deviation: 1.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.1 0.1 -0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.8 RMAE: 19.7 19.7 22.8 10.2 19.6 20.6 14.7 12.5 16.6 CORR: 0.803 0.783 0.742 0.943 0.798 0.801 0.882 0.911 0.867 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 4.9 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 RMAE: 12.6 11.5 16.9 9.9 12.0 13.0 11.0 10.8 11.9 CORR: 0.885 0.875 0.845 0.928 0.882 0.881 0.908 0.919 0.902 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 4.8 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 -0.4 0.0 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 -0.1 MAE: 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.7 RMSE: 1.0 1.1 1.2 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.9 RMAE: 21.4 18.9 24.0 10.8 20.2 21.0 15.6 14.4 17.3 CORR: 0.795 0.751 0.754 0.943 0.783 0.790 0.880 0.914 0.864 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 4.8 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 RMSE: 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.6 RMAE: 13.2 12.3 17.9 9.1 12.7 14.4 11.0 10.3 12.4 CORR: 0.907 0.899 0.868 0.965 0.905 0.904 0.941 0.952 0.932 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 3.6 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.7 0.6 1.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.9 1.1 1.2 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.8 RMAE: 23.6 25.3 38.1 13.2 24.2 27.4 19.9 17.4 22.3 CORR: 0.838 0.779 0.747 0.968 0.822 0.824 0.902 0.935 0.885 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.2 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 -0.2 0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 MAE: 1.2 1.0 1.4 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.1 RMSE: 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.3 RMAE: 55.6 38.5 67.7 53.0 46.9 52.8 44.6 48.3 49.1 CORR: 0.432 0.427 0.285 0.598 0.444 0.440 0.619 0.659 0.605 Pval: 0.006 0.007 0.079 0.000 0.005 0.005 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 0.9 Standard Deviation: 1.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.5 0.4 0.3 -0.2 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 0.0 MAE: 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 RMSE: 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 RMAE: 48.2 63.5 55.9 55.1 55.6 49.7 49.6 43.2 45.8 CORR: 0.381 0.345 0.270 0.370 0.395 0.367 0.490 0.443 0.470 Pval: 0.017 0.031 0.097 0.021 0.013 0.021 0.002 0.005 0.003 ------------------------------------------------