Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 0.4 Standard Deviation: 0.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.4 0.6 0.0 -0.2 0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.4 RMSE: 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 RMAE: 64.2 100.0 12.5 23.3 82.1 58.9 61.8 42.8 49.5 CORR: 0.188 -99.000 NaN 0.906 0.188 0.188 0.901 0.901 0.901 Pval: 0.246 -99.000 NaN 0.000 0.246 0.246 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 0.4 Standard Deviation: 0.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.4 0.6 0.0 -0.2 0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 RMSE: 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 RMAE: 55.8 100.0 12.5 31.9 77.9 56.1 62.3 43.4 49.8 CORR: 0.375 -99.000 NaN 0.767 0.375 0.375 0.718 0.718 0.718 Pval: 0.017 -99.000 NaN 0.000 0.017 0.017 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 0.7 Standard Deviation: 0.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.1 0.3 -0.0 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 RMSE: 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 RMAE: 33.6 34.6 20.0 27.8 34.1 29.4 31.5 30.0 28.6 CORR: 0.536 0.452 0.001 0.755 0.514 0.514 0.666 0.713 0.666 Pval: 0.000 0.003 0.995 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 1.7 Standard Deviation: 1.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.1 0.3 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 -0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 RMSE: 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8 RMAE: 37.5 37.0 46.9 30.4 37.3 38.9 33.8 32.6 36.0 CORR: 0.579 0.535 0.448 0.770 0.565 0.574 0.675 0.723 0.665 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.004 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 3.1 Standard Deviation: 1.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.4 0.3 0.0 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.2 1.1 1.3 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.0 RMSE: 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.2 RMAE: 49.9 40.3 57.7 30.2 45.0 49.2 38.2 37.5 43.1 CORR: 0.341 0.229 0.266 0.731 0.316 0.318 0.640 0.684 0.586 Pval: 0.031 0.155 0.097 0.000 0.047 0.045 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 4.2 Standard Deviation: 1.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 0.6 0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.0 0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.2 1.1 1.5 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.1 RMSE: 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.4 RMAE: 31.8 29.1 45.3 27.5 30.1 34.3 28.5 28.8 31.8 CORR: 0.216 0.126 0.006 0.591 0.178 0.144 0.523 0.604 0.460 Pval: 0.180 0.437 0.969 0.000 0.272 0.376 0.001 0.000 0.003 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 4.9 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 0.6 -0.0 -0.1 0.2 -0.1 -0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.3 1.2 1.6 0.7 1.2 1.3 1.0 1.0 1.1 RMSE: 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.1 1.6 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.4 RMAE: 29.9 26.5 40.0 17.6 28.0 30.8 23.9 22.8 26.7 CORR: 0.163 0.056 0.148 0.753 0.100 0.147 0.628 0.725 0.503 Pval: 0.315 0.730 0.362 0.000 0.538 0.364 0.000 0.000 0.001 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 4.8 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 -0.0 0.2 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 MAE: 1.2 1.1 1.5 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.1 RMSE: 1.5 1.5 1.9 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.4 RMAE: 28.8 26.1 36.4 24.4 27.4 29.0 24.9 25.4 26.6 CORR: 0.491 0.421 0.366 0.750 0.475 0.468 0.648 0.692 0.597 Pval: 0.001 0.007 0.020 0.000 0.002 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 4.8 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.1 1.1 1.4 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMSE: 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.2 1.2 1.3 RMAE: 28.1 26.4 36.4 22.7 27.2 29.8 24.3 23.6 27.0 CORR: 0.572 0.557 0.386 0.794 0.568 0.556 0.715 0.756 0.687 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.014 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 3.6 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.3 0.2 0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.2 1.1 1.5 0.8 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.9 1.0 RMSE: 1.4 1.5 1.8 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.3 RMAE: 41.4 34.6 57.2 29.1 38.0 42.8 32.9 32.5 37.4 CORR: 0.524 0.520 0.193 0.819 0.523 0.497 0.708 0.771 0.674 Pval: 0.001 0.001 0.233 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.2 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.3 0.5 0.2 -0.1 0.1 -0.0 0.1 0.1 MAE: 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 RMSE: 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.5 RMAE: 60.0 49.1 81.2 77.9 54.3 61.8 59.5 65.4 61.7 CORR: 0.274 0.082 0.220 0.061 0.221 0.231 0.202 0.173 0.267 Pval: 0.091 0.620 0.179 0.711 0.176 0.157 0.217 0.292 0.100 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 0.9 Standard Deviation: 1.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.9 1.1 0.2 -0.4 0.1 -0.2 0.1 0.1 MAE: 0.9 0.9 1.5 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 RMSE: 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 RMAE: 47.0 100.0 60.2 50.3 72.6 35.7 60.0 46.4 38.2 CORR: 0.322 -99.000 0.001 0.332 0.322 0.322 0.382 0.382 0.382 Pval: 0.046 -99.000 0.995 0.039 0.046 0.046 0.016 0.016 0.016 ------------------------------------------------