Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 2.0 Standard Deviation: 1.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 RMSE: 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 RMAE: 24.5 21.1 30.9 15.3 22.3 24.3 17.4 16.4 20.0 CORR: 0.904 0.884 0.867 0.960 0.900 0.900 0.937 0.949 0.929 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 3.5 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.0 0.4 0.0 -0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.8 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.7 RMSE: 0.9 1.1 1.1 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.8 RMAE: 26.8 24.4 38.9 16.2 25.5 29.7 21.4 19.9 25.1 CORR: 0.798 0.731 0.751 0.941 0.778 0.788 0.867 0.911 0.858 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 4.9 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 1.0 1.0 1.1 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.8 RMAE: 17.7 14.9 22.3 9.3 16.3 18.1 12.9 11.9 14.9 CORR: 0.807 0.791 0.752 0.949 0.802 0.802 0.888 0.920 0.872 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 6.6 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 0.2 0.0 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.7 RMAE: 11.9 11.2 14.9 6.4 11.5 12.5 9.3 8.4 10.5 CORR: 0.879 0.869 0.852 0.964 0.877 0.875 0.924 0.941 0.912 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 8.0 Standard Deviation: 2.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 RMAE: 8.9 8.2 10.2 6.4 8.6 9.0 6.9 6.5 7.7 CORR: 0.927 0.917 0.910 0.962 0.925 0.924 0.950 0.958 0.945 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 9.0 Standard Deviation: 2.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.0 0.9 1.2 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.8 RMSE: 1.1 1.2 1.3 0.6 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.9 RMAE: 11.6 10.8 13.7 5.0 11.2 11.6 8.5 7.3 9.5 CORR: 0.882 0.863 0.838 0.974 0.878 0.878 0.936 0.954 0.924 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 8.5 Standard Deviation: 2.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.2 0.2 -0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 -0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.0 0.9 1.1 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.8 RMSE: 1.2 1.4 1.4 0.7 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMAE: 13.1 12.5 15.3 7.7 12.8 13.3 10.4 9.5 11.0 CORR: 0.862 0.835 0.828 0.959 0.856 0.855 0.916 0.938 0.903 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 7.0 Standard Deviation: 2.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.3 -0.0 -0.0 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 MAE: 1.6 1.5 2.3 1.6 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.7 RMSE: 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 RMAE: 28.6 24.2 39.5 28.7 26.4 29.7 26.2 27.7 28.9 CORR: 0.413 0.327 0.274 0.417 0.383 0.374 0.422 0.443 0.414 Pval: 0.009 0.042 0.091 0.008 0.016 0.019 0.008 0.005 0.009 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 5.6 Standard Deviation: 2.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.4 1.4 1.9 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.4 RMSE: 1.8 1.8 2.2 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.7 RMAE: 32.7 30.1 41.7 25.2 31.4 34.1 27.5 26.6 30.5 CORR: 0.546 0.529 0.330 0.653 0.541 0.524 0.672 0.708 0.647 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.040 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 4.0 Standard Deviation: 2.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.4 1.2 1.7 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.2 RMSE: 1.7 2.1 2.0 1.4 1.8 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.5 RMAE: 50.3 41.1 65.0 37.3 45.5 50.3 38.2 36.8 42.9 CORR: 0.496 0.419 0.247 0.734 0.462 0.454 0.643 0.745 0.625 Pval: 0.001 0.008 0.130 0.000 0.003 0.004 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.6 Standard Deviation: 1.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.6 -0.2 0.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.1 0.2 -0.1 MAE: 1.4 1.2 1.7 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.3 RMSE: 1.7 1.8 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.5 RMAE: 62.5 38.4 79.1 74.8 48.2 56.9 52.1 62.6 56.3 CORR: 0.486 0.484 0.247 0.548 0.503 0.506 0.618 0.618 0.613 Pval: 0.002 0.002 0.129 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 1.6 Standard Deviation: 1.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 0.2 0.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 0.1 0.0 MAE: 1.0 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 RMSE: 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 RMAE: 45.1 42.0 71.2 61.0 43.5 51.7 45.8 48.9 50.8 CORR: 0.415 0.313 0.265 0.356 0.386 0.371 0.497 0.464 0.469 Pval: 0.009 0.052 0.103 0.026 0.015 0.020 0.001 0.003 0.003 ------------------------------------------------