Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 2.0 Standard Deviation: 1.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 0.3 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.9 0.8 1.2 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8 RMSE: 1.1 1.2 1.3 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 RMAE: 44.1 41.3 63.8 35.1 42.5 46.9 37.4 36.9 42.7 CORR: 0.438 0.397 0.257 0.720 0.423 0.421 0.596 0.669 0.569 Pval: 0.005 0.011 0.110 0.000 0.007 0.007 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 3.5 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.2 RMSE: 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.4 RMAE: 49.7 46.4 60.1 38.5 48.0 51.8 44.5 43.6 48.2 CORR: 0.380 0.361 0.238 0.615 0.373 0.372 0.509 0.571 0.489 Pval: 0.015 0.022 0.138 0.000 0.018 0.018 0.001 0.000 0.001 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 4.9 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 0.1 0.1 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.3 1.2 1.4 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.2 RMSE: 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.2 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.4 RMAE: 32.4 28.5 35.4 20.2 30.4 31.9 26.2 25.0 28.3 CORR: 0.315 0.248 0.227 0.673 0.285 0.297 0.535 0.642 0.512 Pval: 0.048 0.122 0.158 0.000 0.075 0.062 0.000 0.000 0.001 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 6.6 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.0 0.8 0.0 -0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 MAE: 1.3 1.2 1.6 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.0 1.0 1.1 RMSE: 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.0 1.6 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.4 RMAE: 20.9 19.8 28.3 15.2 20.3 21.8 17.7 16.6 19.4 CORR: 0.433 0.327 0.329 0.820 0.402 0.395 0.710 0.772 0.642 Pval: 0.005 0.039 0.038 0.000 0.010 0.012 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 8.0 Standard Deviation: 2.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 0.0 0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 MAE: 1.5 1.4 1.7 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.0 1.3 RMSE: 1.9 2.0 2.1 1.2 1.9 1.9 1.5 1.3 1.6 RMAE: 20.9 20.4 23.9 12.2 20.6 21.1 16.3 14.5 17.7 CORR: 0.540 0.451 0.477 0.838 0.520 0.520 0.777 0.825 0.715 Pval: 0.000 0.004 0.002 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 9.0 Standard Deviation: 2.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.7 1.0 -0.0 -0.3 0.1 -0.2 -0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.7 1.6 2.2 1.2 1.7 1.8 1.4 1.4 1.6 RMSE: 2.3 2.4 2.7 1.8 2.3 2.3 2.0 1.9 2.1 RMAE: 20.5 17.5 28.3 14.7 19.0 21.6 16.5 16.1 19.0 CORR: 0.380 0.374 0.247 0.664 0.378 0.349 0.599 0.649 0.536 Pval: 0.015 0.018 0.125 0.000 0.016 0.027 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 8.5 Standard Deviation: 2.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.3 -0.3 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1 -0.0 -0.2 MAE: 1.7 1.6 2.5 1.1 1.6 1.8 1.3 1.2 1.5 RMSE: 2.2 2.3 2.8 1.4 2.3 2.3 1.8 1.7 2.0 RMAE: 23.2 20.4 32.8 13.8 21.7 24.0 17.2 16.1 20.2 CORR: 0.420 0.362 0.211 0.818 0.402 0.387 0.700 0.777 0.625 Pval: 0.007 0.022 0.191 0.000 0.010 0.014 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 7.0 Standard Deviation: 2.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.3 0.5 0.1 -0.2 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.6 1.5 2.0 2.4 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.7 RMSE: 2.1 2.2 2.4 3.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.1 RMAE: 27.2 25.1 34.5 39.5 26.1 28.2 27.9 30.0 28.0 CORR: 0.429 0.357 0.302 0.200 0.413 0.399 0.379 0.323 0.424 Pval: 0.006 0.025 0.062 0.221 0.009 0.012 0.017 0.045 0.007 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 5.6 Standard Deviation: 2.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.4 0.7 0.1 -0.2 0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.4 1.3 1.9 2.4 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.6 RMSE: 1.9 2.0 2.2 3.3 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.0 RMAE: 32.6 27.1 46.1 53.7 29.6 34.3 34.8 39.3 35.8 CORR: 0.472 0.460 0.257 0.007 0.468 0.457 0.325 0.177 0.347 Pval: 0.002 0.003 0.114 0.967 0.003 0.003 0.044 0.281 0.030 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 4.0 Standard Deviation: 2.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 -0.3 0.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 MAE: 1.4 1.3 1.7 1.9 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.5 RMSE: 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.2 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 RMAE: 49.5 38.6 53.4 63.0 44.1 46.4 49.3 55.5 49.2 CORR: 0.466 0.442 0.288 0.307 0.457 0.448 0.464 0.420 0.464 Pval: 0.003 0.005 0.075 0.057 0.003 0.004 0.003 0.008 0.003 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.6 Standard Deviation: 1.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.3 0.4 0.2 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 0.1 0.1 MAE: 1.5 1.4 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 RMSE: 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.1 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 RMAE: 67.6 55.6 92.8 79.4 61.4 69.5 65.1 70.5 69.2 CORR: 0.296 0.139 0.198 0.144 0.246 0.239 0.295 0.262 0.307 Pval: 0.068 0.400 0.228 0.382 0.131 0.143 0.068 0.108 0.057 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 1.6 Standard Deviation: 1.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.4 0.6 0.1 -0.2 0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.0 0.9 1.3 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 RMSE: 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 RMAE: 44.1 34.6 66.5 37.0 39.0 43.3 35.7 37.0 40.0 CORR: 0.345 0.161 0.140 0.287 0.289 0.262 0.323 0.349 0.306 Pval: 0.032 0.328 0.394 0.076 0.074 0.107 0.045 0.030 0.058 ------------------------------------------------