Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 1.3 Standard Deviation: 3.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.4 MAE: 1.1 1.0 1.2 0.3 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.9 RMSE: 1.6 1.8 1.6 0.5 1.6 1.6 1.2 0.9 1.3 RMAE: 28.5 11.8 40.3 22.9 20.1 26.9 21.1 25.7 25.9 CORR: 0.877 0.838 0.877 0.986 0.858 0.877 0.934 0.964 0.930 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 3.1 Standard Deviation: 6.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.6 -2.4 1.1 0.1 -0.9 -0.2 -0.5 0.4 -0.1 MAE: 3.2 3.0 3.3 0.3 3.1 3.2 2.1 1.7 2.4 RMSE: 4.4 6.6 4.7 0.5 5.2 4.8 3.5 2.3 3.6 RMAE: 78.5 73.1 89.9 16.9 75.8 80.5 45.5 31.7 56.6 CORR: 0.771 0.554 0.727 0.997 0.753 0.761 0.957 0.967 0.920 Pval: 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 10.6 Standard Deviation: 11.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.3 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.4 MAE: 6.0 5.6 7.1 4.1 5.8 6.2 5.2 4.9 5.6 RMSE: 7.1 8.1 7.8 5.5 7.5 7.3 6.5 6.0 6.6 RMAE: 113.9 130.2 118.6 97.9 122.0 120.6 113.4 105.0 114.2 CORR: 0.780 0.707 0.762 0.875 0.753 0.771 0.823 0.855 0.822 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 22.8 Standard Deviation: 15.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.1 2.8 0.9 -0.3 1.4 1.3 0.9 -0.1 0.9 MAE: 7.7 6.8 11.3 6.3 7.2 8.4 6.8 6.9 7.7 RMSE: 10.1 11.0 12.4 8.6 10.3 10.4 9.3 8.9 9.5 RMAE: 135.9 173.2 134.6 79.2 154.2 146.9 128.9 107.0 129.2 CORR: 0.757 0.731 0.674 0.832 0.750 0.747 0.799 0.819 0.790 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 36.1 Standard Deviation: 20.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -2.5 3.9 -0.1 -1.3 0.5 -0.9 -0.1 0.3 MAE: 10.6 8.9 15.6 4.8 9.8 11.1 7.9 7.4 9.1 RMSE: 13.2 14.2 16.6 8.3 13.3 13.5 10.4 9.3 11.1 RMAE: 43.2 36.5 65.1 24.3 39.8 44.6 34.0 32.9 37.9 CORR: 0.772 0.742 0.668 0.917 0.769 0.763 0.873 0.901 0.849 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 49.9 Standard Deviation: 19.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -1.9 0.5 0.8 -1.0 -0.5 -0.4 0.4 -0.2 MAE: 10.6 10.0 13.4 3.6 10.3 11.1 7.5 6.2 8.7 RMSE: 13.2 14.7 15.7 5.0 13.6 13.5 9.8 7.9 10.6 RMAE: 25.0 19.0 34.2 9.4 22.0 25.7 16.7 15.5 20.6 CORR: 0.745 0.681 0.647 0.968 0.728 0.733 0.878 0.925 0.849 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 62.4 Standard Deviation: 22.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -1.9 2.7 -0.2 -0.9 0.3 -0.7 -0.1 0.2 MAE: 14.4 11.1 17.9 7.9 12.7 14.4 10.5 10.3 12.4 RMSE: 17.0 19.3 19.2 11.9 17.6 17.1 14.8 13.3 15.1 RMAE: 25.1 17.3 34.6 12.5 21.1 25.6 17.1 17.1 21.5 CORR: 0.668 0.589 0.551 0.853 0.644 0.663 0.764 0.819 0.758 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.003 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 70.6 Standard Deviation: 29.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -4.5 1.5 -1.8 -2.3 -1.0 -2.1 -0.9 -1.2 MAE: 18.0 16.4 31.6 10.5 17.2 20.7 14.7 13.8 17.6 RMSE: 23.6 25.5 34.6 21.4 24.1 25.0 21.6 20.9 22.5 RMAE: 33.8 28.0 53.9 21.1 30.9 36.7 27.0 26.6 31.9 CORR: 0.615 0.570 0.417 0.703 0.601 0.575 0.699 0.726 0.662 Pval: 0.001 0.002 0.031 0.000 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 71.2 Standard Deviation: 27.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -1.3 -0.6 -0.5 -0.6 -0.6 -0.6 -0.2 -0.6 MAE: 12.9 11.7 14.8 7.0 12.3 13.1 9.7 8.7 10.9 RMSE: 15.3 19.1 16.5 10.2 16.3 15.8 13.2 11.4 13.5 RMAE: 22.5 18.8 25.2 10.9 20.6 22.0 15.6 14.0 17.8 CORR: 0.833 0.768 0.805 0.929 0.813 0.823 0.879 0.912 0.873 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 52.6 Standard Deviation: 27.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -3.4 3.1 -0.3 -1.7 -0.1 -1.2 -0.1 -0.1 MAE: 14.6 12.7 18.5 5.9 13.6 15.0 10.8 9.9 12.6 RMSE: 17.4 19.7 21.1 10.0 17.9 18.0 14.2 12.2 15.2 RMAE: 32.8 26.1 53.4 15.5 29.5 37.0 24.2 23.3 31.2 CORR: 0.768 0.724 0.652 0.930 0.758 0.750 0.855 0.900 0.832 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 29.4 Standard Deviation: 20.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.2 -1.1 2.5 -1.4 -0.5 0.5 -0.8 -0.6 0.0 MAE: 13.0 11.1 15.8 6.1 12.1 13.1 9.9 9.4 11.2 RMSE: 15.9 17.5 18.5 8.7 16.3 16.2 12.6 11.1 13.6 RMAE: 68.2 57.8 72.9 31.7 63.0 65.2 50.3 46.6 54.9 CORR: 0.651 0.592 0.494 0.912 0.632 0.632 0.803 0.859 0.770 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.009 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 7.6 Standard Deviation: 12.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.7 -1.4 4.2 0.7 -0.3 1.2 0.0 0.7 1.0 MAE: 6.4 5.2 10.2 2.4 5.8 7.2 4.6 4.4 6.0 RMSE: 9.7 10.3 12.5 4.8 9.8 10.0 7.6 6.6 8.3 RMAE: 50.0 44.6 94.1 29.8 46.7 62.5 41.0 39.7 54.3 CORR: 0.663 0.614 0.499 0.929 0.657 0.641 0.835 0.882 0.787 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.008 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------