Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 24.6 Standard Deviation: 16.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 MAE: 4.1 3.7 5.1 1.4 3.9 4.2 2.9 2.5 3.4 RMSE: 5.3 5.9 5.9 1.8 5.5 5.4 4.0 3.2 4.3 RMAE: 27.1 27.1 36.0 14.7 26.9 29.5 22.3 19.9 23.8 CORR: 0.945 0.931 0.931 0.994 0.940 0.942 0.970 0.981 0.964 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 41.1 Standard Deviation: 21.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.1 0.8 0.3 -0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 MAE: 7.5 6.6 9.6 3.4 7.0 7.7 5.3 4.9 6.1 RMSE: 9.3 10.0 10.8 4.9 9.5 9.4 7.2 6.2 7.7 RMAE: 30.4 26.5 32.4 11.7 28.5 29.3 21.7 19.7 23.9 CORR: 0.902 0.885 0.880 0.974 0.898 0.900 0.942 0.958 0.934 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 62.7 Standard Deviation: 23.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -1.4 0.8 0.7 -0.7 -0.2 -0.2 0.3 0.0 MAE: 7.1 6.2 9.6 6.4 6.6 7.4 6.2 6.3 6.8 RMSE: 9.1 10.0 11.0 7.5 9.4 9.3 8.2 7.7 8.4 RMAE: 14.5 11.1 18.5 13.5 12.8 14.4 12.3 13.1 13.5 CORR: 0.918 0.907 0.880 0.945 0.915 0.914 0.934 0.942 0.930 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 85.5 Standard Deviation: 26.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -2.2 -0.6 0.0 -1.1 -0.9 -0.7 0.0 -0.7 MAE: 5.8 5.3 7.7 4.4 5.5 5.9 4.8 4.7 5.3 RMSE: 7.7 9.1 9.0 5.5 8.1 7.9 6.6 5.9 6.8 RMAE: 7.3 6.4 10.5 5.9 6.7 7.5 6.2 6.2 6.7 CORR: 0.958 0.945 0.944 0.978 0.955 0.957 0.970 0.975 0.968 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 105.9 Standard Deviation: 37.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 1.4 -0.2 -0.1 0.4 -0.1 -0.1 0.3 MAE: 7.4 6.6 9.8 3.4 7.0 7.8 5.5 5.0 6.4 RMSE: 9.4 10.0 10.9 4.7 9.6 9.5 7.2 6.1 7.8 RMAE: 7.8 6.9 10.7 3.8 7.3 8.4 5.8 5.3 6.9 CORR: 0.967 0.964 0.958 0.992 0.966 0.966 0.981 0.987 0.978 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 118.6 Standard Deviation: 34.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 1.4 -1.1 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.8 0.4 0.3 MAE: 5.7 5.2 6.5 4.6 5.4 5.7 4.9 4.8 5.1 RMSE: 7.1 8.1 7.6 6.0 7.4 7.2 6.6 6.2 6.6 RMAE: 5.2 4.7 6.0 4.1 5.0 5.2 4.4 4.3 4.7 CORR: 0.978 0.974 0.977 0.985 0.977 0.978 0.982 0.984 0.981 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 111.9 Standard Deviation: 33.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 1.4 -3.5 -0.6 0.7 -0.7 0.2 -0.3 -0.7 MAE: 15.2 15.1 19.4 10.9 15.2 16.0 13.0 12.1 13.9 RMSE: 19.9 20.1 23.0 13.6 20.0 20.3 16.6 15.3 17.6 RMAE: 15.6 15.7 19.2 10.8 15.7 16.2 13.2 12.2 14.0 CORR: 0.806 0.805 0.768 0.915 0.806 0.800 0.872 0.893 0.854 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 95.5 Standard Deviation: 34.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -1.3 -6.6 -0.1 -0.6 -2.6 -0.4 -0.0 -2.0 MAE: 21.8 21.1 25.5 17.7 21.3 22.3 19.7 19.3 20.9 RMSE: 26.6 27.1 29.3 21.5 26.7 26.8 24.0 23.0 24.7 RMAE: 28.6 27.5 31.9 21.7 27.9 28.6 25.3 24.6 26.6 CORR: 0.639 0.639 0.625 0.782 0.639 0.636 0.728 0.750 0.702 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 73.8 Standard Deviation: 31.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.7 -5.4 -0.8 -0.3 -2.0 -0.5 -0.4 -1.7 MAE: 18.7 18.6 21.2 14.2 18.6 19.1 16.5 15.5 17.2 RMSE: 22.8 22.9 25.4 16.9 22.9 23.1 19.9 18.7 20.7 RMAE: 33.6 33.0 37.5 23.6 33.3 34.1 29.2 27.3 30.5 CORR: 0.680 0.680 0.613 0.841 0.680 0.673 0.774 0.806 0.751 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 51.0 Standard Deviation: 28.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -1.5 -0.2 0.2 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 0.1 -0.4 MAE: 6.9 6.1 7.9 3.4 6.5 6.8 5.2 4.8 5.8 RMSE: 8.2 9.5 8.8 4.4 8.5 8.3 6.7 5.8 7.0 RMAE: 22.9 18.2 25.3 9.7 20.6 21.8 16.3 15.4 18.2 CORR: 0.958 0.946 0.951 0.988 0.955 0.957 0.972 0.979 0.970 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 30.6 Standard Deviation: 25.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.2 0.5 -0.5 -0.2 0.4 0.1 0.2 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 6.5 5.8 7.6 3.1 6.2 6.3 4.6 4.0 5.1 RMSE: 8.1 9.2 8.9 3.9 8.3 8.1 6.2 5.3 6.6 RMAE: 38.1 29.5 42.5 19.4 33.8 35.6 25.0 23.1 28.5 CORR: 0.947 0.935 0.937 0.988 0.945 0.948 0.969 0.978 0.966 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 17.4 Standard Deviation: 18.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.5 -0.7 3.0 0.2 -0.1 0.9 -0.0 0.3 0.8 MAE: 4.1 3.7 6.3 1.9 3.8 4.6 3.0 2.8 3.8 RMSE: 6.1 6.9 7.5 3.4 6.4 6.3 4.7 3.9 5.0 RMAE: 35.6 33.2 65.2 22.1 34.0 43.9 27.4 24.9 36.5 CORR: 0.943 0.930 0.926 0.982 0.939 0.942 0.970 0.979 0.965 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------