Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 0.2 Standard Deviation: 0.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 RMSE: 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 RMAE: 32.4 29.8 31.4 0.2 31.1 31.2 20.8 16.3 23.5 CORR: 0.829 0.714 0.796 1.000 0.778 0.813 0.917 0.970 0.912 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 0.3 Standard Deviation: 0.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 RMSE: 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 RMAE: 36.0 29.5 36.2 14.6 32.7 30.8 26.7 25.3 26.8 CORR: 0.720 0.581 0.731 0.941 0.668 0.711 0.854 0.908 0.829 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 0.8 Standard Deviation: 0.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 RMSE: 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 RMAE: 29.5 23.8 40.1 14.8 26.7 30.0 22.2 21.4 25.4 CORR: 0.761 0.701 0.672 0.955 0.746 0.746 0.862 0.899 0.841 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 1.8 Standard Deviation: 1.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 0.2 -0.0 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.8 RMAE: 38.7 32.2 64.2 16.0 35.4 43.5 27.2 24.8 34.2 CORR: 0.598 0.475 0.448 0.848 0.561 0.572 0.745 0.806 0.716 Pval: 0.001 0.012 0.019 0.000 0.002 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 3.1 Standard Deviation: 1.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.3 0.2 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.8 0.6 1.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 RMSE: 1.0 1.1 1.2 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.8 RMAE: 34.5 21.2 45.5 18.2 27.6 31.7 23.8 25.4 27.6 CORR: 0.766 0.735 0.684 0.929 0.768 0.767 0.857 0.896 0.841 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 4.0 Standard Deviation: 1.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.1 -0.2 0.0 0.1 -0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.7 RMAE: 19.4 15.9 25.6 8.0 17.7 20.1 13.5 12.3 16.4 CORR: 0.718 0.662 0.640 0.957 0.700 0.711 0.840 0.903 0.821 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 4.7 Standard Deviation: 1.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8 RMAE: 15.6 13.0 21.7 9.2 14.2 16.3 12.1 11.8 14.2 CORR: 0.692 0.658 0.553 0.826 0.683 0.680 0.774 0.806 0.754 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 5.0 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 0.3 0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.8 0.7 1.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.7 RMSE: 1.1 1.2 1.7 0.6 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.8 1.0 RMAE: 17.7 14.2 34.1 10.7 15.9 19.9 13.1 12.8 16.0 CORR: 0.756 0.705 0.585 0.945 0.744 0.719 0.867 0.904 0.820 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 5.0 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.1 0.1 -0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.0 0.8 1.4 0.5 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.8 RMSE: 1.2 1.3 1.5 0.7 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.0 RMAE: 22.5 19.8 33.5 12.9 21.2 23.6 17.6 16.6 19.8 CORR: 0.758 0.719 0.586 0.917 0.746 0.745 0.845 0.885 0.830 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 3.7 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.1 0.4 0.0 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.9 0.8 1.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.8 RMSE: 1.1 1.2 1.4 0.7 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.8 1.0 RMAE: 29.0 26.9 46.0 18.1 27.9 33.0 24.5 23.3 29.2 CORR: 0.791 0.767 0.630 0.923 0.784 0.774 0.849 0.879 0.832 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.1 Standard Deviation: 1.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.0 0.3 -0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.7 0.7 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.6 RMSE: 0.9 1.0 1.4 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.8 RMAE: 46.5 46.2 72.1 17.0 46.3 51.1 34.3 28.4 39.2 CORR: 0.758 0.737 0.657 0.977 0.753 0.745 0.890 0.939 0.853 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 0.6 Standard Deviation: 1.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.2 0.3 0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 RMSE: 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.6 RMAE: 41.6 39.3 61.5 19.0 40.5 46.5 29.0 25.8 35.6 CORR: 0.651 0.588 0.507 0.938 0.648 0.633 0.866 0.906 0.811 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.007 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------