Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 0.2 Standard Deviation: 0.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 RMSE: 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 RMAE: 8.1 6.8 11.2 0.2 7.4 7.9 5.0 4.0 5.9 CORR: 0.987 0.972 0.981 1.000 0.981 0.984 0.992 0.997 0.991 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 0.3 Standard Deviation: 0.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 RMSE: 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 RMAE: 9.2 8.8 15.1 3.4 9.0 10.4 7.0 6.2 8.1 CORR: 0.971 0.963 0.973 0.999 0.968 0.971 0.984 0.991 0.983 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 0.8 Standard Deviation: 0.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 RMSE: 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 RMAE: 18.6 15.7 23.3 5.7 17.2 19.2 12.8 11.3 15.4 CORR: 0.949 0.941 0.939 0.995 0.947 0.948 0.972 0.981 0.967 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 1.7 Standard Deviation: 1.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 RMSE: 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 RMAE: 19.8 20.3 21.4 11.7 20.0 20.4 16.8 15.1 17.6 CORR: 0.948 0.942 0.942 0.979 0.946 0.947 0.963 0.971 0.960 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 3.2 Standard Deviation: 1.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 RMSE: 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 RMAE: 19.2 16.5 25.3 9.8 17.8 20.0 14.6 13.7 17.0 CORR: 0.938 0.922 0.916 0.980 0.933 0.936 0.960 0.971 0.956 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 4.1 Standard Deviation: 1.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 RMSE: 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 RMAE: 11.4 10.4 12.9 6.5 10.9 11.0 8.1 7.3 8.9 CORR: 0.932 0.906 0.916 0.973 0.925 0.926 0.954 0.965 0.948 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 4.8 Standard Deviation: 1.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 RMSE: 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 RMAE: 8.5 7.9 9.3 4.0 8.2 8.4 6.4 5.8 7.0 CORR: 0.923 0.909 0.910 0.982 0.919 0.921 0.954 0.967 0.947 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 4.9 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.1 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 RMSE: 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 RMAE: 8.8 7.6 11.0 4.4 8.2 9.1 6.6 6.1 7.7 CORR: 0.960 0.955 0.949 0.989 0.958 0.959 0.975 0.981 0.972 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 4.8 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.4 RMSE: 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 RMAE: 11.2 11.2 14.2 5.1 11.2 11.8 8.8 7.7 9.7 CORR: 0.942 0.928 0.924 0.988 0.938 0.938 0.966 0.976 0.960 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 3.5 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 -0.1 MAE: 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 RMSE: 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 RMAE: 13.9 13.1 19.4 7.6 13.5 14.5 10.5 9.4 11.9 CORR: 0.953 0.945 0.947 0.988 0.951 0.953 0.972 0.980 0.968 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.0 Standard Deviation: 1.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.4 RMSE: 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 RMAE: 28.9 24.5 37.6 13.1 26.5 29.5 21.1 19.4 24.5 CORR: 0.910 0.902 0.881 0.978 0.908 0.908 0.950 0.964 0.941 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 0.6 Standard Deviation: 0.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 RMSE: 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 RMAE: 16.0 15.1 20.1 9.1 15.6 16.7 13.3 12.3 14.4 CORR: 0.974 0.969 0.970 0.994 0.973 0.974 0.984 0.989 0.983 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------