Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 0.2 Standard Deviation: 0.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.2 0.3 0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 RMSE: 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 RMAE: 67.1 100.0 41.5 30.9 83.5 69.5 65.1 47.6 59.2 CORR: 0.398 -99.000 0.192 0.876 0.398 0.292 0.819 0.819 0.667 Pval: 0.026 -99.000 0.301 0.000 0.026 0.111 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 0.3 Standard Deviation: 0.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.3 0.7 0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.4 RMSE: 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 RMAE: 58.4 100.0 14.3 17.5 79.2 57.6 58.5 37.8 47.5 CORR: 0.442 -99.000 -0.000 0.939 0.442 0.442 0.894 0.894 0.894 Pval: 0.013 -99.000 0.999 0.000 0.013 0.013 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 0.8 Standard Deviation: 0.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.0 0.2 0.0 -0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.4 RMSE: 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 RMAE: 32.9 29.6 19.4 18.1 31.2 27.3 21.8 19.0 21.2 CORR: 0.576 0.529 NaN 0.952 0.561 0.561 0.824 0.905 0.824 Pval: 0.001 0.002 NaN 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 1.7 Standard Deviation: 1.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.3 0.3 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 MAE: 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 RMSE: 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8 RMAE: 41.6 36.5 56.7 16.5 38.7 42.6 30.3 27.8 35.5 CORR: 0.586 0.500 0.529 0.791 0.561 0.575 0.715 0.756 0.695 Pval: 0.001 0.004 0.002 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 3.2 Standard Deviation: 1.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.4 0.3 -0.0 -0.2 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.3 1.2 1.4 0.6 1.2 1.3 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMSE: 1.4 1.6 1.5 0.8 1.5 1.4 1.1 1.0 1.2 RMAE: 54.7 47.1 62.9 28.5 50.9 54.6 41.5 38.6 46.1 CORR: 0.318 0.130 0.252 0.850 0.246 0.278 0.741 0.830 0.707 Pval: 0.081 0.487 0.172 0.000 0.182 0.130 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 4.1 Standard Deviation: 1.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 MAE: 0.9 0.9 1.3 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.9 RMSE: 1.2 1.3 1.5 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.1 RMAE: 26.5 26.3 38.0 15.3 26.2 29.8 21.7 19.7 25.5 CORR: 0.388 0.319 0.187 0.736 0.360 0.352 0.574 0.670 0.541 Pval: 0.031 0.080 0.314 0.000 0.047 0.052 0.001 0.000 0.002 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 4.8 Standard Deviation: 1.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.0 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.9 RMSE: 1.2 1.3 1.3 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.0 RMAE: 22.5 19.2 26.1 12.9 20.9 22.5 17.7 17.0 19.6 CORR: 0.279 0.255 0.020 0.777 0.267 0.276 0.623 0.752 0.625 Pval: 0.129 0.166 0.916 0.000 0.146 0.132 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 4.9 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.1 1.0 1.4 0.5 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.9 RMSE: 1.4 1.5 1.7 0.7 1.5 1.5 1.1 0.9 1.2 RMAE: 26.2 23.6 35.4 13.1 24.9 27.4 20.0 18.2 22.8 CORR: 0.507 0.376 0.385 0.901 0.478 0.481 0.816 0.874 0.732 Pval: 0.004 0.037 0.033 0.000 0.006 0.006 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 4.8 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.2 -0.3 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.1 1.0 1.3 0.6 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.9 RMSE: 1.3 1.3 1.5 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.0 1.1 RMAE: 27.3 26.3 32.4 16.1 26.8 27.8 22.6 20.7 24.2 CORR: 0.697 0.677 0.578 0.904 0.691 0.691 0.807 0.848 0.787 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 3.5 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 0.5 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.0 -0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.0 1.0 1.5 0.7 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.8 1.0 RMSE: 1.4 1.4 1.7 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.2 RMAE: 35.6 31.3 60.8 28.2 33.4 41.6 31.1 31.0 37.3 CORR: 0.638 0.608 0.332 0.849 0.629 0.613 0.760 0.804 0.738 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.068 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.0 Standard Deviation: 1.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.7 1.0 0.0 -0.3 0.1 -0.2 0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.1 1.0 1.6 0.5 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.9 RMSE: 1.3 1.6 1.8 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.0 1.2 RMAE: 56.8 33.1 101.6 29.3 45.0 58.7 36.4 38.8 48.2 CORR: 0.327 0.020 0.123 0.791 0.257 0.201 0.728 0.791 0.591 Pval: 0.072 0.914 0.511 0.000 0.162 0.279 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 0.6 Standard Deviation: 0.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.3 0.8 0.1 -0.1 0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.2 MAE: 0.7 0.6 1.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.7 RMSE: 0.9 1.0 1.3 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.8 RMAE: 52.2 60.0 59.6 31.3 56.1 40.6 45.9 39.1 37.4 CORR: 0.318 0.226 0.067 0.838 0.314 0.232 0.719 0.770 0.602 Pval: 0.081 0.222 0.722 0.000 0.085 0.209 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------