Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 2.0 Standard Deviation: 1.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 RMSE: 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 RMAE: 37.8 30.8 49.0 17.7 34.3 37.9 25.4 24.6 30.4 CORR: 0.702 0.673 0.662 0.931 0.699 0.704 0.847 0.893 0.815 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 3.4 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 0.2 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.2 1.1 1.5 0.4 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.8 1.0 RMSE: 1.4 1.6 1.6 0.7 1.5 1.5 1.1 1.0 1.2 RMAE: 48.1 39.3 59.8 20.5 43.6 47.1 34.8 32.6 39.5 CORR: 0.483 0.402 0.207 0.887 0.451 0.433 0.736 0.840 0.694 Pval: 0.011 0.038 0.301 0.000 0.018 0.024 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 4.8 Standard Deviation: 1.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.9 0.8 1.3 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.8 RMSE: 1.1 1.3 1.4 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.9 RMAE: 22.7 23.3 31.6 8.8 22.7 24.9 17.7 15.1 20.1 CORR: 0.694 0.593 0.533 0.922 0.666 0.670 0.831 0.887 0.797 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.004 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 6.5 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 -0.2 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 -0.1 MAE: 1.1 1.0 1.5 0.6 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.9 1.0 RMSE: 1.4 1.6 1.6 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.0 1.2 RMAE: 19.0 14.6 24.3 9.8 16.8 19.0 14.1 13.8 16.1 CORR: 0.596 0.549 0.443 0.833 0.578 0.581 0.740 0.809 0.714 Pval: 0.001 0.003 0.021 0.000 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 8.1 Standard Deviation: 2.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.1 -0.0 0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.0 0.9 1.3 0.5 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.9 RMSE: 1.2 1.3 1.4 0.7 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.0 RMAE: 12.9 11.4 17.6 7.7 12.2 13.6 10.1 9.5 11.7 CORR: 0.857 0.835 0.786 0.949 0.852 0.849 0.908 0.927 0.895 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 9.0 Standard Deviation: 2.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 MAE: 1.4 1.2 1.7 0.7 1.3 1.4 1.1 1.0 1.2 RMSE: 1.7 2.1 1.9 1.0 1.8 1.8 1.4 1.2 1.5 RMAE: 15.9 13.6 19.8 7.0 14.8 16.1 11.6 10.5 13.1 CORR: 0.616 0.419 0.523 0.890 0.561 0.582 0.762 0.845 0.736 Pval: 0.001 0.029 0.005 0.000 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 8.4 Standard Deviation: 2.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.5 0.3 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.2 -0.0 -0.1 MAE: 1.1 1.0 1.5 0.6 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.0 RMSE: 1.4 1.6 1.7 0.9 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.0 1.2 RMAE: 13.6 10.7 19.2 7.9 12.2 14.4 9.9 9.5 12.1 CORR: 0.705 0.686 0.553 0.896 0.699 0.694 0.826 0.870 0.799 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 7.0 Standard Deviation: 2.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.3 0.3 -0.0 -0.2 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.0 0.9 1.6 0.4 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.9 RMSE: 1.4 1.6 1.9 0.6 1.4 1.4 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMAE: 16.1 12.1 26.6 7.5 14.1 17.3 11.1 10.6 14.1 CORR: 0.745 0.674 0.657 0.954 0.728 0.728 0.874 0.915 0.831 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 5.6 Standard Deviation: 2.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.5 -0.3 -0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 -0.1 0.0 MAE: 1.3 1.1 1.5 0.6 1.2 1.3 0.9 0.9 1.1 RMSE: 1.5 1.7 1.6 0.9 1.6 1.5 1.2 1.0 1.2 RMAE: 28.5 28.9 31.2 11.8 28.7 29.2 21.7 18.1 23.7 CORR: 0.681 0.639 0.628 0.903 0.668 0.672 0.832 0.885 0.810 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 3.9 Standard Deviation: 1.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 0.3 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.9 0.8 1.4 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.9 RMSE: 1.1 1.2 1.6 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.1 RMAE: 30.5 24.0 50.1 24.0 27.3 32.5 26.0 26.9 30.3 CORR: 0.791 0.804 0.573 0.867 0.803 0.787 0.834 0.845 0.820 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.3 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.6 0.2 -0.0 -0.3 -0.1 -0.2 0.0 -0.1 MAE: 0.9 0.9 1.3 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.8 RMSE: 1.1 1.4 1.5 0.4 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.9 RMAE: 54.4 32.3 84.5 16.3 43.3 52.7 32.6 32.8 42.3 CORR: 0.739 0.691 0.647 0.976 0.728 0.714 0.887 0.929 0.835 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 1.4 Standard Deviation: 1.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.8 RMAE: 29.7 20.3 54.7 14.4 24.8 31.2 20.5 21.1 25.9 CORR: 0.672 0.568 0.540 0.871 0.648 0.663 0.859 0.891 0.804 Pval: 0.000 0.002 0.004 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------