Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 1.9 Standard Deviation: 1.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.0 0.1 0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 RMSE: 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 RMAE: 15.6 14.6 19.3 12.4 15.1 15.2 13.4 13.2 14.2 CORR: 0.960 0.955 0.949 0.971 0.959 0.958 0.966 0.969 0.964 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 3.5 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.1 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 RMSE: 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 RMAE: 17.9 16.1 19.4 7.9 17.0 17.7 13.3 12.0 14.7 CORR: 0.949 0.935 0.946 0.983 0.946 0.949 0.968 0.976 0.965 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 4.9 Standard Deviation: 1.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 RMSE: 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 RMAE: 8.7 7.6 10.2 6.1 8.2 8.3 7.2 7.0 7.5 CORR: 0.945 0.935 0.930 0.976 0.942 0.942 0.964 0.971 0.959 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 6.5 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.1 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 RMSE: 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 RMAE: 4.7 4.0 7.2 2.4 4.3 4.9 3.3 3.0 4.0 CORR: 0.969 0.964 0.954 0.992 0.967 0.967 0.981 0.987 0.978 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 8.0 Standard Deviation: 2.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.7 RMAE: 9.6 8.1 10.8 5.7 8.7 9.3 7.1 7.0 7.9 CORR: 0.922 0.895 0.906 0.971 0.915 0.919 0.946 0.959 0.942 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 8.9 Standard Deviation: 2.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.7 RMAE: 8.2 7.5 9.6 3.9 7.9 8.4 6.2 5.6 7.0 CORR: 0.926 0.911 0.911 0.978 0.922 0.924 0.955 0.967 0.949 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 8.4 Standard Deviation: 1.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.1 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.1 1.0 1.2 0.8 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 RMSE: 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.2 RMAE: 14.1 13.8 15.0 10.8 13.9 14.2 12.6 12.0 13.0 CORR: 0.761 0.747 0.757 0.860 0.758 0.761 0.817 0.834 0.802 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 6.8 Standard Deviation: 2.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 RMSE: 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 RMAE: 8.6 7.4 11.3 3.8 8.0 8.7 5.9 5.3 7.0 CORR: 0.946 0.935 0.936 0.987 0.944 0.945 0.969 0.977 0.964 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 5.4 Standard Deviation: 2.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.4 RMSE: 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 RMAE: 11.3 10.3 14.9 4.8 10.8 11.7 8.1 6.9 9.2 CORR: 0.948 0.943 0.935 0.991 0.947 0.946 0.973 0.982 0.967 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 3.7 Standard Deviation: 1.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 MAE: 1.0 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 RMSE: 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 RMAE: 35.0 33.3 40.2 26.1 34.0 35.1 30.5 29.2 32.0 CORR: 0.759 0.736 0.739 0.799 0.753 0.756 0.778 0.789 0.774 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.3 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 RMSE: 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 RMAE: 24.2 22.7 31.4 15.4 23.3 25.2 20.0 18.9 22.1 CORR: 0.942 0.934 0.916 0.973 0.939 0.938 0.958 0.965 0.953 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 1.4 Standard Deviation: 1.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 RMSE: 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 RMAE: 19.9 14.3 27.9 18.0 17.1 20.4 15.4 16.5 17.4 CORR: 0.946 0.928 0.927 0.976 0.941 0.940 0.960 0.968 0.956 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------