Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 0.2 Standard Deviation: 0.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 RMSE: 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 RMAE: 32.4 29.8 31.4 1.4 31.1 31.2 21.0 16.6 23.6 CORR: 0.829 0.714 0.796 0.998 0.778 0.813 0.912 0.965 0.907 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 0.3 Standard Deviation: 0.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 RMSE: 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 RMAE: 36.0 29.5 36.2 1.0 32.7 30.8 22.0 18.3 23.2 CORR: 0.720 0.581 0.731 0.998 0.668 0.711 0.884 0.955 0.856 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 0.8 Standard Deviation: 0.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 RMSE: 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 RMAE: 29.5 23.8 40.1 15.4 26.7 30.0 22.3 21.5 25.5 CORR: 0.761 0.701 0.672 0.953 0.746 0.746 0.861 0.898 0.840 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 1.8 Standard Deviation: 1.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 0.2 -0.0 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 RMSE: 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8 RMAE: 38.7 32.2 64.2 31.4 35.4 43.5 32.9 33.2 38.7 CORR: 0.598 0.475 0.448 0.832 0.561 0.572 0.725 0.788 0.695 Pval: 0.001 0.012 0.019 0.000 0.002 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 3.2 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.5 0.2 -0.0 -0.2 -0.1 -0.2 -0.0 -0.1 MAE: 0.9 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.7 RMSE: 1.1 1.2 1.2 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.9 RMAE: 36.9 20.6 46.9 19.6 27.1 32.2 22.8 27.1 28.0 CORR: 0.732 0.743 0.648 0.925 0.750 0.741 0.846 0.882 0.827 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 4.3 Standard Deviation: 1.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.1 -0.1 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.4 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.8 RMAE: 19.3 17.6 22.7 7.0 18.4 19.5 13.8 11.9 15.7 CORR: 0.760 0.702 0.712 0.964 0.746 0.757 0.874 0.916 0.851 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 5.2 Standard Deviation: 1.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.0 0.2 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 RMSE: 0.8 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 RMAE: 11.5 10.1 19.8 5.8 10.7 13.2 8.0 7.6 10.8 CORR: 0.818 0.794 0.688 0.932 0.812 0.811 0.896 0.922 0.882 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 5.4 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.3 0.1 -0.0 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 MAE: 0.7 0.6 1.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.6 RMSE: 1.1 1.3 1.6 0.5 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.9 RMAE: 14.3 9.6 28.0 8.1 12.0 14.5 9.1 8.9 11.9 CORR: 0.794 0.703 0.644 0.959 0.772 0.764 0.888 0.925 0.854 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 5.2 Standard Deviation: 1.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.0 -0.1 -0.2 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.1 -0.1 MAE: 1.0 0.9 1.2 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.9 RMSE: 1.3 1.3 1.4 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.1 0.9 1.1 RMAE: 23.6 20.9 27.6 14.9 22.3 23.6 18.7 17.8 20.5 CORR: 0.758 0.730 0.702 0.906 0.751 0.751 0.845 0.880 0.825 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 3.8 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.1 0.3 -0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 -0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.9 0.8 1.2 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.8 RMSE: 1.1 1.2 1.4 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 RMAE: 27.7 29.3 42.1 16.4 28.5 32.5 23.5 20.6 27.6 CORR: 0.806 0.767 0.683 0.905 0.794 0.792 0.854 0.880 0.842 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.1 Standard Deviation: 1.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.2 0.2 -0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 -0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.8 0.7 1.2 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.7 RMSE: 1.0 1.1 1.4 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.8 RMAE: 46.7 50.6 77.2 19.3 48.6 53.9 36.8 30.3 42.6 CORR: 0.742 0.662 0.632 0.948 0.719 0.730 0.864 0.924 0.836 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 0.6 Standard Deviation: 1.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.2 0.3 0.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.4 RMSE: 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.6 RMAE: 41.6 39.3 61.5 15.0 40.5 46.5 27.6 23.0 34.8 CORR: 0.651 0.588 0.507 0.963 0.648 0.633 0.878 0.921 0.822 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.007 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------