Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 2.1 Standard Deviation: 6.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.7 -2.1 1.3 0.2 -0.7 -0.0 -0.4 0.4 0.0 MAE: 2.0 2.1 2.5 0.3 2.0 2.0 1.4 1.1 1.6 RMSE: 3.1 6.4 3.4 0.6 4.3 3.6 2.9 1.7 2.8 RMAE: 40.0 100.0 54.0 16.7 65.1 52.1 48.9 28.0 43.2 CORR: 0.889 -99.000 0.856 0.995 0.889 0.879 0.974 0.974 0.949 Pval: 0.000 -99.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 3.9 Standard Deviation: 8.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.7 0.4 2.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.8 MAE: 2.3 2.4 3.1 0.5 2.4 2.6 1.7 1.4 2.0 RMSE: 3.8 4.2 4.3 1.2 3.9 3.9 2.7 2.1 3.0 RMAE: 53.3 43.5 57.3 13.2 48.4 50.9 36.5 33.1 41.3 CORR: 0.901 0.874 0.887 0.990 0.891 0.900 0.955 0.975 0.946 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 11.4 Standard Deviation: 14.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.7 -0.7 1.3 0.9 -0.0 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.5 MAE: 6.8 6.1 7.9 3.9 6.4 6.6 5.2 5.1 5.7 RMSE: 8.3 9.5 9.1 5.3 8.6 8.3 6.9 6.2 7.1 RMAE: 82.5 71.9 83.4 80.6 76.5 76.4 74.9 79.4 75.1 CORR: 0.822 0.754 0.780 0.934 0.811 0.823 0.892 0.912 0.880 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 24.6 Standard Deviation: 19.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.2 0.2 -1.5 0.2 0.2 -0.4 0.2 0.2 -0.2 MAE: 9.6 9.1 13.2 6.0 9.3 10.2 7.9 7.3 8.9 RMSE: 12.6 13.5 15.7 8.8 12.9 13.1 11.0 10.1 11.6 RMAE: 97.1 119.3 129.6 50.0 108.0 111.5 87.5 71.7 95.2 CORR: 0.764 0.724 0.636 0.891 0.753 0.739 0.832 0.859 0.807 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 45.3 Standard Deviation: 26.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -2.6 -0.6 0.4 -1.3 -1.1 -0.8 0.2 -0.7 MAE: 12.9 12.3 17.5 7.0 12.5 13.8 10.1 9.1 11.5 RMSE: 16.3 17.5 19.6 9.7 16.6 16.6 13.0 11.3 13.8 RMAE: 37.2 29.3 55.8 30.6 33.1 39.7 30.8 31.7 35.9 CORR: 0.795 0.770 0.711 0.933 0.789 0.786 0.886 0.911 0.862 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 63.8 Standard Deviation: 25.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 3.0 -3.7 -0.4 1.5 -0.2 0.9 -0.2 -0.3 MAE: 10.3 9.5 16.5 6.9 9.9 11.4 8.2 7.6 9.6 RMSE: 13.8 15.1 18.6 9.6 14.1 14.1 11.6 10.6 12.2 RMAE: 22.2 19.9 32.7 13.9 21.0 24.0 17.2 16.2 20.1 CORR: 0.841 0.819 0.708 0.926 0.836 0.834 0.891 0.912 0.880 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 80.1 Standard Deviation: 27.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 2.5 3.6 0.5 1.3 2.0 1.0 0.3 1.7 MAE: 10.4 9.6 11.9 8.9 10.0 10.2 9.1 8.9 9.3 RMSE: 12.4 14.3 14.4 10.9 12.9 13.0 11.6 11.0 11.9 RMAE: 14.4 12.3 18.6 12.4 13.4 14.4 12.3 12.4 13.0 CORR: 0.893 0.880 0.869 0.919 0.889 0.889 0.909 0.917 0.905 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 85.2 Standard Deviation: 32.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -1.1 -0.8 -1.3 -0.6 -0.7 -0.8 -0.6 -0.8 MAE: 13.1 12.1 16.3 7.6 12.5 13.5 10.0 9.1 11.3 RMSE: 16.4 17.3 18.9 9.2 16.6 16.7 13.0 11.4 13.9 RMAE: 19.6 19.1 22.9 11.4 19.2 20.1 15.2 13.3 16.7 CORR: 0.859 0.846 0.815 0.959 0.856 0.854 0.917 0.936 0.903 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 79.2 Standard Deviation: 31.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -3.9 1.9 0.2 -2.0 -0.7 -1.2 0.1 -0.4 MAE: 10.9 9.9 13.0 7.1 10.4 11.1 8.5 8.1 9.5 RMSE: 13.2 14.8 15.1 9.0 13.6 13.3 11.1 10.0 11.5 RMAE: 16.4 13.8 20.7 11.0 15.1 16.4 12.6 12.4 14.1 CORR: 0.909 0.894 0.880 0.958 0.905 0.907 0.937 0.949 0.932 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 56.0 Standard Deviation: 33.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.1 0.6 -1.4 -0.7 0.4 -0.2 -0.0 -0.3 -0.4 MAE: 14.3 13.4 16.9 7.2 13.8 14.3 10.4 9.0 11.6 RMSE: 17.6 18.2 20.2 8.6 17.7 18.0 13.4 11.5 14.6 RMAE: 36.6 34.5 47.4 18.1 35.5 38.2 26.7 23.1 30.6 CORR: 0.846 0.834 0.795 0.965 0.843 0.839 0.916 0.941 0.899 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 28.5 Standard Deviation: 23.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.3 -0.4 2.4 0.3 -0.1 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.6 MAE: 11.0 10.4 12.6 5.6 10.7 11.0 8.2 7.3 9.0 RMSE: 14.0 15.7 15.3 7.8 14.5 14.2 11.2 9.6 11.8 RMAE: 128.7 140.8 123.2 80.1 134.2 128.6 112.1 99.6 113.3 CORR: 0.806 0.749 0.781 0.944 0.793 0.801 0.887 0.917 0.871 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 8.6 Standard Deviation: 14.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.9 -1.2 1.2 0.1 -0.2 0.3 -0.1 0.5 0.3 MAE: 5.7 5.5 6.3 2.2 5.6 5.7 4.4 3.8 4.8 RMSE: 8.0 9.0 9.0 6.2 8.3 8.2 6.7 6.0 7.0 RMAE: 41.6 44.7 51.3 23.5 43.0 43.7 29.9 24.9 33.7 CORR: 0.840 0.810 0.790 0.905 0.831 0.835 0.910 0.922 0.895 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------