Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 0.2 Standard Deviation: 0.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 RMSE: 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 RMAE: 23.5 25.4 22.2 6.5 24.4 23.5 17.4 13.4 18.4 CORR: 0.905 0.882 0.897 0.991 0.897 0.906 0.953 0.971 0.946 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 0.3 Standard Deviation: 0.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 RMSE: 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 RMAE: 18.2 21.6 27.3 0.9 19.9 21.9 13.4 9.3 16.5 CORR: 0.922 0.901 0.886 0.999 0.916 0.924 0.968 0.983 0.961 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 0.8 Standard Deviation: 0.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.1 -0.0 -0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 RMSE: 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 RMAE: 26.1 18.0 49.2 18.3 22.0 31.1 19.6 20.4 26.1 CORR: 0.792 0.763 0.666 0.948 0.783 0.780 0.890 0.922 0.867 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 1.8 Standard Deviation: 1.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.2 -0.2 -0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 RMSE: 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 RMAE: 35.2 34.7 40.5 20.8 34.9 35.5 27.4 24.3 29.1 CORR: 0.809 0.796 0.793 0.856 0.805 0.807 0.859 0.873 0.848 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 3.4 Standard Deviation: 1.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.2 -0.3 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 MAE: 1.1 1.0 1.3 0.7 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.8 1.0 RMSE: 1.3 1.5 1.4 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.0 1.2 RMAE: 39.6 32.5 42.7 27.5 35.9 37.4 31.5 31.4 33.4 CORR: 0.721 0.675 0.697 0.875 0.709 0.718 0.808 0.847 0.793 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 4.6 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 MAE: 0.8 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.8 RMAE: 19.1 18.4 24.6 8.9 18.6 19.7 13.0 11.0 15.5 CORR: 0.791 0.745 0.750 0.960 0.781 0.782 0.899 0.932 0.870 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 5.5 Standard Deviation: 1.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 RMSE: 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 RMAE: 11.8 10.5 14.0 5.8 11.1 11.9 8.7 7.9 9.8 CORR: 0.867 0.854 0.831 0.955 0.864 0.865 0.918 0.937 0.908 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 5.5 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.2 0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 RMSE: 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.9 RMAE: 15.2 13.1 18.1 11.5 14.0 15.0 12.2 12.1 13.4 CORR: 0.842 0.802 0.811 0.907 0.833 0.840 0.886 0.901 0.878 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 5.2 Standard Deviation: 2.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 RMSE: 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 RMAE: 13.8 13.6 17.4 9.8 13.7 14.4 11.1 10.7 12.5 CORR: 0.939 0.934 0.923 0.974 0.938 0.938 0.957 0.965 0.953 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 3.8 Standard Deviation: 2.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.9 0.8 1.5 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.9 RMSE: 1.2 1.3 1.8 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.0 1.0 1.1 RMAE: 25.7 24.9 50.4 16.4 24.9 30.9 19.8 17.5 25.1 CORR: 0.834 0.826 0.693 0.921 0.832 0.818 0.882 0.903 0.864 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.1 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.3 0.2 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 1.0 1.2 1.1 0.5 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.8 RMAE: 45.6 31.4 54.5 19.0 38.2 43.2 28.1 26.8 33.2 CORR: 0.796 0.745 0.779 0.949 0.787 0.798 0.915 0.938 0.892 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 0.6 Standard Deviation: 1.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.1 -0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 RMSE: 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 RMAE: 25.0 23.4 35.1 21.7 24.2 25.3 20.9 19.7 21.7 CORR: 0.870 0.853 0.832 0.965 0.866 0.868 0.931 0.949 0.917 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------