Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 0.2 Standard Deviation: 0.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.2 0.4 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 RMSE: 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 RMAE: 68.4 100.0 27.5 40.7 84.2 64.1 68.8 53.2 57.5 CORR: 0.397 -99.000 0.358 0.827 0.397 0.376 0.789 0.789 0.649 Pval: 0.011 -99.000 0.023 0.000 0.011 0.017 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 0.3 Standard Deviation: 0.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.3 0.7 0.0 -0.1 0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.4 RMSE: 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 RMAE: 61.1 100.0 11.1 23.0 80.6 57.4 57.2 35.8 45.7 CORR: 0.398 -99.000 NaN 0.827 0.398 0.398 0.780 0.780 0.780 Pval: 0.011 -99.000 NaN 0.000 0.011 0.011 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 0.8 Standard Deviation: 0.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 RMSE: 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 RMAE: 32.4 29.4 38.8 30.5 30.9 30.4 26.3 25.5 26.1 CORR: 0.514 0.465 0.416 0.848 0.496 0.490 0.743 0.809 0.679 Pval: 0.001 0.003 0.008 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 1.8 Standard Deviation: 1.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 0.6 -0.1 -0.0 0.2 -0.1 -0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.8 0.8 1.1 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.8 RMSE: 1.2 1.2 1.4 0.7 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.0 RMAE: 42.8 40.4 71.3 29.0 41.6 48.9 35.1 32.9 41.4 CORR: 0.480 0.449 0.458 0.825 0.473 0.473 0.715 0.780 0.645 Pval: 0.002 0.004 0.003 0.000 0.002 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 3.4 Standard Deviation: 1.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.3 0.6 -0.0 -0.2 0.1 -0.1 -0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.5 1.4 2.0 0.9 1.4 1.6 1.2 1.1 1.4 RMSE: 1.9 2.1 2.5 1.2 1.9 1.9 1.6 1.4 1.7 RMAE: 54.1 53.5 78.1 39.2 53.6 58.0 47.7 44.9 52.5 CORR: 0.200 -0.104 0.150 0.801 0.058 0.148 0.765 0.779 0.558 Pval: 0.216 0.522 0.356 0.000 0.721 0.361 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 4.6 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 0.7 -0.1 -0.0 0.2 -0.1 -0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.2 1.1 1.7 0.6 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.8 1.1 RMSE: 1.5 1.6 2.0 0.9 1.5 1.6 1.2 1.1 1.3 RMAE: 31.1 29.3 46.4 17.9 30.1 34.5 24.9 22.8 29.2 CORR: 0.228 0.220 -0.075 0.836 0.224 0.153 0.723 0.830 0.709 Pval: 0.157 0.173 0.646 0.000 0.164 0.344 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 5.5 Standard Deviation: 1.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 0.3 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.2 1.1 1.3 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.1 RMSE: 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.3 RMAE: 24.4 22.7 27.6 17.2 23.6 24.4 20.7 19.8 22.0 CORR: 0.360 0.282 -0.106 0.695 0.330 0.321 0.557 0.639 0.554 Pval: 0.023 0.078 0.515 0.000 0.037 0.043 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 5.5 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.2 -0.4 0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.1 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.1 1.1 1.5 0.7 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.9 1.0 RMSE: 1.4 1.5 1.7 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.3 RMAE: 25.7 25.9 32.6 17.0 25.8 26.9 22.2 20.4 23.6 CORR: 0.637 0.577 0.546 0.859 0.622 0.611 0.758 0.807 0.713 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 5.2 Standard Deviation: 2.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 MAE: 1.2 1.1 1.8 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMSE: 1.6 1.6 2.1 1.1 1.6 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.4 RMAE: 34.6 32.8 46.0 21.3 33.7 36.6 28.0 26.1 31.0 CORR: 0.649 0.635 0.459 0.848 0.645 0.612 0.775 0.813 0.724 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 3.8 Standard Deviation: 2.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.2 -0.5 -0.3 0.1 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.2 MAE: 1.3 1.3 2.4 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.4 RMSE: 1.9 1.9 2.7 1.5 1.9 2.0 1.7 1.6 1.8 RMAE: 39.3 37.0 83.9 36.1 38.1 48.3 35.9 35.9 43.7 CORR: 0.537 0.514 0.204 0.754 0.530 0.469 0.668 0.719 0.598 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.207 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.1 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.3 0.9 -0.0 -0.1 0.2 -0.1 -0.0 0.2 MAE: 1.2 1.1 1.8 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMSE: 1.6 1.7 2.1 0.9 1.6 1.6 1.3 1.1 1.4 RMAE: 57.7 45.4 106.3 36.2 50.9 63.0 45.4 45.6 55.3 CORR: 0.337 0.265 0.204 0.828 0.310 0.282 0.687 0.786 0.560 Pval: 0.034 0.099 0.206 0.000 0.052 0.078 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 0.6 Standard Deviation: 1.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.6 1.3 0.0 -0.3 0.2 -0.2 0.0 0.2 MAE: 0.7 0.6 1.5 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.7 RMSE: 1.0 1.2 1.7 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.9 RMAE: 45.2 100.0 60.0 28.2 72.6 32.8 55.1 33.2 29.9 CORR: 0.358 -99.000 0.001 0.800 0.358 0.358 0.757 0.757 0.757 Pval: 0.023 -99.000 0.997 0.000 0.023 0.023 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------