Dr_SFC operational forecast

Initial: 11/09/2022. Target months are printed on every panel. Bias correction uses 48 full-period members; SPEI Stack uses ANN2.

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Total monthly rainfall

Rainfall anomaly

Mean monthly temperature

Temperature anomaly

Drought forecast SPEI-1

Mild drought (SPEI ≤ -0.5), SPEI-1

Moderate drought (SPEI ≤ -1.0), SPEI-1

Severe drought (SPEI ≤ -1.5), SPEI-1

Extreme drought (SPEI ≤ -2.0), SPEI-1

Drought forecast SPEI-3

Mild drought (SPEI ≤ -0.5), SPEI-3

Moderate drought (SPEI ≤ -1.0), SPEI-3

Severe drought (SPEI ≤ -1.5), SPEI-3

Extreme drought (SPEI ≤ -2.0), SPEI-3

Drought forecast SPEI-6

Mild drought (SPEI ≤ -0.5), SPEI-6

Moderate drought (SPEI ≤ -1.0), SPEI-6

Severe drought (SPEI ≤ -1.5), SPEI-6

Extreme drought (SPEI ≤ -2.0), SPEI-6