Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 25.3 Standard Deviation: 16.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.2 -0.3 1.0 -0.1 -0.0 0.3 -0.1 0.1 0.2 MAE: 5.5 5.1 6.7 3.0 5.2 5.5 4.1 3.8 4.6 RMSE: 7.0 7.6 7.8 3.8 7.1 7.0 5.5 4.8 5.8 RMAE: 30.5 23.0 49.3 18.6 26.4 32.6 20.2 19.4 26.5 CORR: 0.911 0.895 0.891 0.974 0.906 0.910 0.945 0.960 0.940 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 41.5 Standard Deviation: 21.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.1 0.6 -0.9 -0.3 0.3 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 -0.1 MAE: 7.3 6.8 9.6 5.4 7.0 7.6 6.2 5.9 6.7 RMSE: 9.3 9.9 11.1 6.5 9.5 9.4 8.0 7.4 8.3 RMAE: 30.3 30.5 33.7 21.3 30.4 30.7 26.3 24.3 27.1 CORR: 0.897 0.883 0.855 0.951 0.893 0.894 0.925 0.937 0.919 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 61.6 Standard Deviation: 23.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.3 -0.2 -0.4 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 MAE: 6.5 6.2 8.9 4.8 6.3 7.0 5.5 5.3 6.2 RMSE: 8.4 8.9 10.1 6.2 8.5 8.6 7.2 6.7 7.6 RMAE: 11.9 11.5 17.1 8.6 11.7 12.8 10.1 9.6 11.2 CORR: 0.932 0.924 0.901 0.964 0.930 0.929 0.951 0.958 0.946 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 82.7 Standard Deviation: 26.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 1.2 -3.2 -0.4 0.6 -0.7 0.3 -0.2 -0.6 MAE: 8.5 7.7 10.3 5.3 8.1 8.7 6.6 6.3 7.4 RMSE: 10.5 12.0 11.7 6.6 10.9 10.6 8.8 7.8 9.2 RMAE: 12.2 11.2 14.3 7.3 11.7 12.4 9.5 8.9 10.5 CORR: 0.919 0.903 0.907 0.969 0.915 0.917 0.943 0.956 0.939 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 102.2 Standard Deviation: 35.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 2.8 -3.0 -1.0 1.4 -0.1 0.6 -0.5 -0.3 MAE: 11.4 10.5 13.8 7.2 11.0 11.6 9.0 8.4 10.0 RMSE: 14.1 15.8 16.0 9.8 14.5 14.2 12.0 10.9 12.4 RMAE: 13.1 12.9 14.1 7.9 13.0 13.1 10.4 9.2 11.1 CORR: 0.918 0.903 0.900 0.962 0.914 0.916 0.943 0.953 0.938 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 116.2 Standard Deviation: 35.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.8 0.8 -1.0 0.4 0.5 -0.1 -0.5 0.1 MAE: 11.6 10.9 14.5 8.5 11.2 12.2 9.6 9.2 10.6 RMSE: 14.6 15.1 17.2 11.3 14.7 14.9 12.9 12.2 13.4 RMAE: 11.7 11.4 13.8 8.4 11.5 12.2 10.0 9.4 10.8 CORR: 0.909 0.902 0.881 0.947 0.908 0.905 0.930 0.938 0.924 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 110.1 Standard Deviation: 35.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -2.2 2.0 0.3 -1.1 -0.1 -0.6 0.2 0.0 MAE: 11.3 10.4 16.9 10.0 10.9 12.1 10.5 10.6 11.5 RMSE: 14.5 15.8 19.3 13.9 14.8 14.9 14.2 13.9 14.4 RMAE: 12.6 11.2 17.9 11.5 11.9 13.3 11.7 12.0 12.8 CORR: 0.913 0.902 0.842 0.920 0.910 0.908 0.917 0.920 0.914 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 93.2 Standard Deviation: 35.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -4.3 -0.2 2.9 -2.2 -1.5 -0.5 1.5 -0.4 MAE: 12.8 11.9 16.4 11.0 12.4 13.4 11.4 11.4 12.4 RMSE: 16.3 17.3 18.8 14.2 16.5 16.7 15.0 14.5 15.4 RMAE: 15.1 13.6 21.5 14.2 14.4 16.0 13.8 14.2 15.1 CORR: 0.889 0.883 0.849 0.920 0.887 0.884 0.907 0.914 0.902 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 73.3 Standard Deviation: 31.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 1.0 3.5 -0.3 0.5 1.5 0.2 -0.2 1.0 MAE: 13.2 12.6 18.4 10.3 12.9 14.1 11.7 11.3 12.7 RMSE: 16.0 16.8 20.4 12.9 16.2 16.4 14.3 13.5 14.8 RMAE: 23.5 23.1 32.8 17.0 23.3 25.7 20.6 19.4 22.8 CORR: 0.857 0.842 0.775 0.911 0.853 0.852 0.890 0.902 0.881 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 52.2 Standard Deviation: 28.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 3.0 1.5 -0.0 1.0 0.5 0.7 1.1 MAE: 13.0 12.0 15.8 11.2 12.5 13.1 11.3 11.2 11.8 RMSE: 16.2 17.5 18.5 15.1 16.5 16.5 15.1 14.5 15.4 RMAE: 35.3 31.3 38.6 27.9 33.3 34.2 29.8 29.2 31.0 CORR: 0.824 0.794 0.791 0.851 0.816 0.817 0.848 0.862 0.843 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 32.5 Standard Deviation: 25.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.2 1.4 3.3 0.5 0.8 1.6 0.7 0.4 1.4 MAE: 10.0 9.4 15.3 7.3 9.6 11.1 8.6 8.3 9.9 RMSE: 13.9 14.8 18.2 10.1 14.2 14.6 12.3 11.5 13.0 RMAE: 42.7 54.4 62.2 30.9 46.9 49.3 40.8 35.9 43.8 CORR: 0.831 0.809 0.703 0.915 0.824 0.816 0.874 0.891 0.860 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 18.6 Standard Deviation: 18.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.5 -1.5 2.1 0.4 -0.5 0.3 -0.2 0.5 0.4 MAE: 9.4 8.3 11.6 5.9 8.8 9.3 7.6 7.2 8.2 RMSE: 11.2 11.7 13.1 7.7 11.2 11.2 9.2 8.5 9.7 RMAE: 122.0 92.3 142.7 75.6 107.1 115.6 94.9 96.2 104.2 CORR: 0.799 0.780 0.735 0.910 0.802 0.798 0.873 0.896 0.857 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------