Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 0.7 Standard Deviation: 0.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.6 -0.7 -0.3 -0.7 -0.6 -0.5 -0.7 -0.6 -0.6 MAE: 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 RMSE: 0.9 1.0 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 RMAE: 88.1 100.0 55.9 96.3 94.1 81.4 94.8 92.2 85.1 CORR: -0.487 -99.000 0.226 -0.266 -0.487 0.020 -0.549 -0.549 -0.047 Pval: 0.268 -99.000 0.626 0.564 0.268 0.966 0.201 0.201 0.920 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 0.7 Standard Deviation: 0.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.3 -0.7 0.3 0.2 -0.5 -0.3 -0.3 -0.1 -0.1 MAE: 0.8 0.7 0.6 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.9 1.1 0.8 RMSE: 0.9 1.0 0.8 1.6 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.2 0.9 RMAE: 77.6 100.0 12.5 81.0 88.8 63.4 86.2 79.3 67.8 CORR: -0.306 -99.000 NaN -0.519 -0.306 -0.306 -0.482 -0.482 -0.482 Pval: 0.505 -99.000 NaN 0.233 0.505 0.505 0.273 0.273 0.273 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 0.4 Standard Deviation: 0.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 MAE: 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 RMSE: 1.1 1.2 0.9 1.4 1.2 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.1 RMAE: 38.3 55.2 25.0 74.4 46.8 39.5 56.0 56.3 48.2 CORR: 0.040 -0.054 -99.000 -0.347 -0.010 -0.010 -0.153 -0.199 -0.153 Pval: 0.933 0.908 -99.000 0.445 0.983 0.983 0.744 0.668 0.744 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 1.7 Standard Deviation: 0.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.2 -0.1 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 MAE: 0.8 0.5 0.7 1.7 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.2 0.9 RMSE: 0.8 0.6 0.9 2.1 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.0 RMAE: 40.7 33.3 31.2 118.4 37.0 35.1 64.2 79.6 55.9 CORR: 0.383 0.733 0.129 -0.005 0.614 0.556 0.257 0.078 0.251 Pval: 0.396 0.061 0.782 0.992 0.143 0.195 0.578 0.867 0.588 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 3.1 Standard Deviation: 1.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.3 -0.7 0.3 -0.9 -0.5 -0.2 -0.6 -0.6 -0.4 MAE: 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.6 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.1 RMSE: 1.3 1.5 1.3 1.9 1.4 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.4 RMAE: 40.6 43.9 52.5 63.2 41.0 42.7 48.4 50.7 44.0 CORR: 0.316 0.032 0.450 -0.765 0.202 0.358 -0.553 -0.750 -0.059 Pval: 0.490 0.946 0.311 0.045 0.665 0.431 0.198 0.052 0.900 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 4.6 Standard Deviation: 2.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -1.0 -1.2 -0.3 -1.3 -1.1 -0.8 -1.1 -1.1 -0.9 MAE: 1.9 2.1 2.0 2.2 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.8 RMSE: 2.5 2.8 2.4 2.8 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.5 RMAE: 38.7 45.6 50.2 50.3 40.5 40.5 38.2 40.4 38.8 CORR: 0.079 -0.088 0.066 0.100 -0.044 0.004 0.033 0.103 0.052 Pval: 0.867 0.851 0.889 0.831 0.926 0.993 0.943 0.827 0.912 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 5.0 Standard Deviation: 2.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.4 -0.7 -0.1 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 -0.6 -0.5 -0.5 MAE: 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.4 RMSE: 2.9 3.0 2.7 3.2 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.0 2.9 RMAE: 56.4 55.9 56.3 57.8 56.2 56.2 56.6 57.0 56.6 CORR: -0.354 -0.405 0.045 -0.281 -0.390 -0.312 -0.472 -0.368 -0.433 Pval: 0.435 0.368 0.923 0.541 0.387 0.496 0.285 0.416 0.332 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 4.7 Standard Deviation: 2.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.3 -0.3 -1.0 -0.4 -0.3 -0.5 -0.3 -0.4 -0.5 MAE: 1.8 2.0 2.2 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 RMSE: 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 RMAE: 51.8 55.2 57.7 52.5 53.5 50.9 53.2 52.2 51.3 CORR: 0.077 -0.302 0.191 -0.232 -0.158 0.076 -0.200 -0.131 -0.060 Pval: 0.869 0.510 0.682 0.616 0.735 0.871 0.667 0.780 0.899 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 4.4 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.5 -0.2 -0.9 0.4 -0.3 -0.5 -0.1 -0.0 -0.3 MAE: 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.4 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 RMSE: 1.3 1.3 1.7 1.7 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.4 RMAE: 21.3 25.3 29.7 38.4 22.8 24.6 26.6 28.7 25.7 CORR: 0.733 0.683 0.648 0.546 0.709 0.703 0.652 0.629 0.656 Pval: 0.061 0.091 0.115 0.205 0.074 0.078 0.112 0.130 0.110 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 3.7 Standard Deviation: 1.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.9 -1.0 -0.6 -1.3 -1.0 -0.9 -1.1 -1.1 -1.0 MAE: 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.8 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.3 RMSE: 1.4 1.5 1.7 2.4 1.5 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.6 RMAE: 31.8 28.6 47.5 59.1 30.2 34.0 37.4 44.5 39.0 CORR: 0.735 0.676 -0.109 -0.023 0.709 0.797 0.545 0.344 0.576 Pval: 0.060 0.095 0.816 0.962 0.074 0.032 0.205 0.451 0.176 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.7 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.8 -1.5 -0.4 -1.6 -1.1 -0.9 -1.3 -1.2 -1.1 MAE: 1.7 1.7 1.5 2.1 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.5 RMSE: 2.0 2.3 1.7 2.7 2.1 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.1 RMAE: 48.5 52.1 51.5 68.3 48.0 49.2 43.6 44.4 38.8 CORR: 0.180 0.361 0.413 -0.128 0.322 0.371 0.117 -0.046 0.267 Pval: 0.699 0.427 0.357 0.785 0.482 0.413 0.803 0.922 0.563 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 2.0 Standard Deviation: 1.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -1.5 -1.8 -0.8 -1.3 -1.7 -1.4 -1.5 -1.4 -1.4 MAE: 1.8 2.0 1.3 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.6 RMSE: 2.2 2.4 1.7 2.5 2.3 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.1 RMAE: 76.8 96.0 46.9 98.6 86.4 64.4 74.7 80.7 61.4 CORR: -0.179 -0.334 0.014 -0.434 -0.266 -0.363 -0.515 -0.451 -0.567 Pval: 0.702 0.464 0.976 0.331 0.565 0.424 0.237 0.310 0.184 ------------------------------------------------