Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 2.3 Standard Deviation: 6.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 MAE: 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 RMSE: 1.2 1.3 1.3 0.7 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMAE: 28.7 25.3 31.1 22.3 27.0 28.3 25.4 25.4 26.8 CORR: 0.984 0.980 0.983 0.994 0.983 0.984 0.988 0.990 0.988 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 3.8 Standard Deviation: 8.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.6 0.2 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.5 MAE: 1.5 1.4 2.0 0.1 1.4 1.6 1.0 0.8 1.2 RMSE: 2.2 2.7 2.6 0.2 2.4 2.3 1.6 1.2 1.8 RMAE: 26.5 11.5 33.3 4.0 19.0 23.3 13.9 15.2 18.5 CORR: 0.971 0.955 0.962 1.000 0.966 0.970 0.985 0.992 0.983 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 10.9 Standard Deviation: 11.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.4 MAE: 2.0 1.9 2.6 0.7 1.9 2.1 1.4 1.1 1.6 RMSE: 2.6 2.9 3.1 1.1 2.7 2.7 2.0 1.6 2.1 RMAE: 17.0 9.0 28.7 6.0 13.0 17.2 9.3 9.5 13.7 CORR: 0.975 0.970 0.966 0.996 0.974 0.974 0.987 0.992 0.984 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 22.4 Standard Deviation: 15.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.5 MAE: 3.8 3.8 5.2 2.4 3.8 4.1 3.1 2.8 3.4 RMSE: 5.4 6.0 6.3 3.1 5.6 5.4 4.4 3.9 4.6 RMAE: 39.0 40.4 41.5 26.5 39.7 39.6 31.5 27.1 31.4 CORR: 0.937 0.920 0.914 0.979 0.932 0.935 0.959 0.968 0.955 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 37.3 Standard Deviation: 20.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 1.3 -0.7 -0.3 0.7 0.2 0.3 -0.1 0.1 MAE: 5.5 5.1 7.5 2.9 5.3 5.9 4.3 3.9 5.0 RMSE: 6.8 7.4 8.0 3.7 7.0 7.0 5.5 4.8 5.9 RMAE: 24.6 23.0 28.7 11.4 23.8 25.2 19.2 17.3 21.2 CORR: 0.939 0.933 0.916 0.983 0.938 0.936 0.962 0.971 0.956 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 51.8 Standard Deviation: 21.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.9 -0.2 -0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 -0.2 0.1 MAE: 5.0 4.6 6.1 2.1 4.8 5.1 3.6 3.2 4.2 RMSE: 6.0 6.8 6.8 2.7 6.2 6.2 4.5 3.7 4.9 RMAE: 12.5 13.0 14.8 5.3 12.7 13.1 9.8 8.2 10.8 CORR: 0.959 0.949 0.947 0.992 0.956 0.956 0.977 0.985 0.972 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 63.1 Standard Deviation: 22.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.9 -0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 MAE: 6.0 5.6 8.1 4.1 5.8 6.5 5.0 4.8 5.7 RMSE: 7.5 8.5 9.0 5.1 7.8 7.8 6.5 5.9 6.8 RMAE: 11.0 10.4 15.5 7.5 10.7 12.1 9.3 8.8 10.7 CORR: 0.941 0.926 0.918 0.974 0.938 0.938 0.958 0.965 0.953 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 68.6 Standard Deviation: 29.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.9 0.3 0.3 -0.5 -0.2 -0.2 0.2 -0.1 MAE: 7.0 6.3 8.0 4.6 6.6 6.9 5.8 5.6 6.2 RMSE: 8.5 9.2 9.3 6.0 8.7 8.6 7.3 6.7 7.5 RMAE: 13.7 12.2 15.5 9.8 12.9 13.6 11.7 11.4 12.4 CORR: 0.956 0.951 0.947 0.979 0.955 0.955 0.968 0.973 0.966 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 66.7 Standard Deviation: 28.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.8 0.0 -0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 -0.2 0.1 MAE: 8.9 8.1 12.5 5.6 8.5 9.7 6.9 6.3 7.9 RMSE: 11.5 12.1 14.5 7.4 11.6 11.8 9.6 8.7 10.1 RMAE: 17.0 14.8 25.8 10.5 15.9 19.0 13.1 12.2 15.8 CORR: 0.915 0.910 0.864 0.966 0.914 0.911 0.942 0.952 0.935 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 48.8 Standard Deviation: 27.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.8 0.9 -0.4 0.4 0.6 0.1 -0.2 0.3 MAE: 5.9 5.4 8.2 4.4 5.6 6.2 5.0 4.9 5.5 RMSE: 7.2 8.5 8.9 5.7 7.6 7.5 6.5 6.0 6.7 RMAE: 19.3 16.5 24.8 11.4 17.9 19.6 15.0 14.5 16.6 CORR: 0.965 0.953 0.949 0.978 0.962 0.963 0.972 0.976 0.970 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 26.9 Standard Deviation: 21.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.5 1.3 1.1 -0.5 0.9 0.9 0.4 -0.0 0.6 MAE: 5.6 5.0 7.0 2.4 5.3 5.8 3.9 3.5 4.7 RMSE: 6.8 8.0 8.1 3.2 7.1 7.1 5.3 4.5 5.8 RMAE: 36.2 34.1 43.0 12.0 35.1 37.5 24.3 20.1 28.9 CORR: 0.947 0.928 0.927 0.989 0.943 0.944 0.968 0.978 0.964 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 7.1 Standard Deviation: 12.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.7 0.6 1.5 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.7 MAE: 2.4 2.2 3.8 0.5 2.3 2.8 1.7 1.4 2.2 RMSE: 3.5 3.9 4.5 0.8 3.6 3.7 2.5 1.9 2.8 RMAE: 26.7 24.1 40.9 16.8 25.4 29.9 22.5 21.7 23.2 CORR: 0.964 0.950 0.948 0.998 0.960 0.963 0.982 0.990 0.979 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------