Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 24.1 Standard Deviation: 15.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.7 -0.8 -0.1 -0.3 -0.5 -0.3 -0.1 -0.4 MAE: 7.2 6.1 11.1 3.3 6.7 7.9 5.3 4.9 6.6 RMSE: 9.3 10.0 12.2 4.6 9.5 9.6 7.1 6.0 7.8 RMAE: 76.3 58.0 94.6 25.3 67.1 72.4 52.0 49.1 60.2 CORR: 0.787 0.756 0.662 0.953 0.779 0.774 0.886 0.922 0.859 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 39.2 Standard Deviation: 21.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.6 3.8 0.3 -0.3 1.1 -0.1 0.1 0.9 MAE: 13.3 11.8 21.5 7.0 12.5 14.8 10.3 9.7 12.4 RMSE: 18.2 18.8 23.6 10.2 18.3 18.7 14.7 13.0 15.7 RMAE: 57.4 52.6 84.8 39.0 54.9 62.8 47.7 45.5 54.0 CORR: 0.554 0.537 0.292 0.885 0.549 0.522 0.746 0.820 0.704 Pval: 0.003 0.004 0.139 0.000 0.003 0.005 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 60.4 Standard Deviation: 22.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.4 7.6 0.3 -0.2 2.4 -0.0 0.2 1.9 MAE: 13.0 10.4 23.9 8.6 11.6 14.9 10.1 10.1 13.1 RMSE: 17.7 19.1 25.5 13.7 18.1 18.7 14.7 13.5 16.2 RMAE: 26.4 20.4 49.8 19.9 23.3 30.8 21.3 21.8 27.6 CORR: 0.618 0.566 0.219 0.795 0.602 0.567 0.774 0.828 0.722 Pval: 0.001 0.002 0.272 0.000 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 85.2 Standard Deviation: 28.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -2.6 5.8 0.1 -1.3 1.1 -0.8 0.0 0.8 MAE: 14.6 13.2 21.3 8.5 13.9 15.7 11.0 9.9 12.9 RMSE: 18.6 20.2 23.6 10.9 19.0 19.2 15.1 13.3 16.1 RMAE: 18.6 16.5 29.6 10.3 17.5 20.8 13.6 12.2 16.8 CORR: 0.747 0.700 0.618 0.922 0.735 0.728 0.851 0.886 0.824 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 106.7 Standard Deviation: 39.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -3.3 2.4 -0.1 -1.7 -0.3 -1.2 -0.1 -0.3 MAE: 14.9 13.0 18.4 6.6 13.9 14.5 10.5 9.4 11.8 RMSE: 17.9 20.9 21.0 8.4 18.7 18.3 14.1 11.7 15.0 RMAE: 15.6 13.3 19.5 7.5 14.4 15.4 11.0 9.9 12.6 CORR: 0.891 0.862 0.849 0.977 0.883 0.885 0.934 0.956 0.925 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 121.0 Standard Deviation: 35.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -1.9 2.4 1.1 -1.0 0.2 -0.3 0.5 0.4 MAE: 20.1 16.6 22.3 7.4 18.1 19.4 13.7 12.5 15.5 RMSE: 24.6 29.1 26.2 10.2 25.8 24.9 18.5 14.7 19.7 RMAE: 18.0 14.2 20.4 6.7 15.9 17.3 12.2 11.4 13.9 CORR: 0.715 0.572 0.675 0.958 0.681 0.707 0.871 0.924 0.845 Pval: 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 115.0 Standard Deviation: 33.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -6.1 8.6 -1.3 -3.1 0.8 -2.5 -0.7 0.3 MAE: 18.1 15.5 25.0 11.2 16.8 18.6 13.6 12.8 15.3 RMSE: 23.7 26.1 27.9 13.8 24.3 24.1 19.0 16.4 20.1 RMAE: 16.2 13.2 23.7 10.3 14.7 16.5 11.7 11.1 13.3 CORR: 0.707 0.658 0.651 0.912 0.697 0.696 0.843 0.880 0.807 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 100.0 Standard Deviation: 33.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 6.2 1.7 -1.1 3.1 2.6 1.7 -0.5 1.7 MAE: 20.2 17.9 28.2 10.7 19.1 20.8 15.7 14.8 17.6 RMSE: 25.2 29.4 32.3 21.1 26.3 26.3 23.2 21.5 23.6 RMAE: 23.2 23.0 32.5 13.4 23.1 23.7 19.2 17.5 20.5 CORR: 0.665 0.567 0.587 0.782 0.635 0.648 0.731 0.777 0.717 Pval: 0.000 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 78.7 Standard Deviation: 30.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 6.3 -1.1 -1.6 3.1 1.7 1.6 -0.8 0.9 MAE: 16.4 14.2 20.5 8.3 15.3 16.7 12.3 11.3 14.0 RMSE: 19.1 22.2 22.8 13.1 19.9 19.6 15.8 14.1 16.6 RMAE: 26.9 25.3 33.1 11.3 26.1 27.8 20.2 17.7 22.8 CORR: 0.773 0.751 0.657 0.903 0.766 0.762 0.854 0.891 0.837 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 54.0 Standard Deviation: 27.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -4.3 5.4 -0.6 -2.1 0.4 -1.6 -0.3 0.1 MAE: 15.4 13.4 20.9 9.5 14.4 16.1 12.5 12.1 14.2 RMSE: 18.1 21.0 22.8 12.9 18.7 18.9 15.5 14.3 16.5 RMAE: 34.6 27.3 60.6 23.5 30.9 40.1 27.8 28.1 35.4 CORR: 0.759 0.706 0.621 0.887 0.749 0.736 0.835 0.863 0.808 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 32.4 Standard Deviation: 24.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.1 -3.8 3.6 0.9 -1.9 -0.0 -0.9 0.5 0.2 MAE: 15.1 13.9 22.5 9.9 14.5 16.2 12.8 12.3 14.4 RMSE: 19.3 22.0 25.2 15.6 20.0 20.2 17.0 15.7 17.8 RMAE: 71.5 52.9 103.9 40.5 62.2 72.1 54.5 55.3 63.2 CORR: 0.620 0.532 0.414 0.772 0.591 0.577 0.730 0.787 0.693 Pval: 0.001 0.004 0.032 0.000 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 18.1 Standard Deviation: 17.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.6 0.0 2.6 -0.3 0.3 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 MAE: 8.7 8.1 12.3 5.1 8.4 9.3 6.7 6.1 7.8 RMSE: 11.6 12.7 14.1 7.4 12.0 12.0 8.8 7.4 9.6 RMAE: 84.6 44.6 67.0 30.6 64.6 60.3 49.4 51.8 50.1 CORR: 0.751 0.683 0.659 0.907 0.730 0.729 0.891 0.932 0.850 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------