Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 0.2 Standard Deviation: 0.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.2 0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 RMSE: 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 RMAE: 55.6 100.0 44.6 5.2 77.8 66.7 52.0 28.0 50.1 CORR: 0.621 -99.000 0.615 0.997 0.621 0.641 0.961 0.961 0.906 Pval: 0.003 -99.000 0.004 0.000 0.003 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 0.2 Standard Deviation: 0.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.2 0.3 0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 RMSE: 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 RMAE: 46.6 100.0 40.5 1.9 73.3 59.1 49.5 24.2 44.8 CORR: 0.627 -99.000 0.524 0.998 0.627 0.601 0.955 0.955 0.877 Pval: 0.003 -99.000 0.018 0.000 0.003 0.005 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 0.8 Standard Deviation: 0.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 RMSE: 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.4 RMAE: 26.3 28.5 31.2 16.0 27.4 28.3 22.0 18.7 24.0 CORR: 0.822 0.752 0.802 0.965 0.800 0.807 0.901 0.937 0.884 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 1.8 Standard Deviation: 1.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.2 0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 RMSE: 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 RMAE: 38.7 24.4 52.6 8.9 31.4 38.5 21.7 20.5 29.5 CORR: 0.751 0.805 0.661 0.986 0.792 0.773 0.904 0.937 0.875 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 3.2 Standard Deviation: 1.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.5 0.4 0.0 -0.3 -0.0 -0.2 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.3 1.0 1.5 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.9 1.1 RMSE: 1.4 1.7 1.5 0.8 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.0 1.2 RMAE: 49.3 31.1 63.3 16.5 39.5 47.5 31.8 32.8 39.7 CORR: 0.368 0.292 0.279 0.852 0.336 0.357 0.686 0.798 0.654 Pval: 0.111 0.211 0.233 0.000 0.147 0.123 0.001 0.000 0.002 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 4.2 Standard Deviation: 1.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 0.3 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.8 0.7 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.6 RMSE: 0.9 1.1 1.1 0.2 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.7 RMAE: 19.2 15.8 26.0 4.3 17.5 19.8 12.1 10.2 15.1 CORR: 0.725 0.669 0.640 0.989 0.707 0.717 0.873 0.941 0.856 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 4.9 Standard Deviation: 1.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.0 0.9 1.3 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.8 RMSE: 1.2 1.4 1.4 0.4 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.7 1.0 RMAE: 24.2 24.6 29.1 4.7 24.4 25.5 17.3 13.6 19.9 CORR: 0.320 0.241 0.109 0.958 0.286 0.281 0.829 0.947 0.777 Pval: 0.169 0.306 0.646 0.000 0.222 0.230 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 5.3 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.6 -0.2 -0.1 -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 -0.0 -0.2 MAE: 1.1 0.9 1.5 0.4 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.9 RMSE: 1.5 1.8 1.8 0.6 1.5 1.5 1.1 0.9 1.2 RMAE: 21.0 13.3 30.9 8.2 17.1 20.6 12.6 12.3 16.1 CORR: 0.506 0.294 0.491 0.948 0.456 0.504 0.820 0.895 0.735 Pval: 0.023 0.208 0.028 0.000 0.043 0.024 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 5.2 Standard Deviation: 1.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.1 0.9 1.2 0.4 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.9 RMSE: 1.2 1.4 1.4 0.6 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.8 1.0 RMAE: 26.3 25.2 27.5 9.0 25.8 26.0 19.6 16.8 21.4 CORR: 0.770 0.741 0.706 0.952 0.763 0.764 0.874 0.906 0.852 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 3.9 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.2 -0.1 -0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.1 1.0 1.1 0.5 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.9 RMSE: 1.3 1.4 1.3 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.0 1.1 RMAE: 34.7 33.0 33.6 12.1 33.8 33.7 26.0 22.6 27.7 CORR: 0.722 0.661 0.715 0.865 0.706 0.714 0.808 0.845 0.796 Pval: 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.0 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.0 0.9 1.5 0.4 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.9 RMSE: 1.4 1.4 1.7 0.6 1.4 1.4 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMAE: 50.6 41.0 87.0 25.1 45.8 55.9 37.5 35.8 47.5 CORR: 0.474 0.449 0.206 0.920 0.466 0.437 0.777 0.869 0.699 Pval: 0.035 0.047 0.383 0.000 0.039 0.054 0.000 0.000 0.001 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 0.6 Standard Deviation: 1.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.6 0.5 -0.0 -0.3 -0.0 -0.2 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.7 0.6 1.0 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.7 RMSE: 1.0 1.2 1.2 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.8 RMAE: 51.3 100.0 54.2 32.6 73.2 56.6 59.6 41.5 50.6 CORR: 0.442 -99.000 0.270 0.848 0.442 0.375 0.821 0.821 0.726 Pval: 0.051 -99.000 0.249 0.000 0.051 0.104 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------