Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 0.2 Standard Deviation: 0.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.2 0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 RMSE: 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 RMAE: 59.0 100.0 46.3 15.8 79.5 68.4 58.0 37.0 55.1 CORR: 0.600 -99.000 0.544 0.907 0.600 0.592 0.885 0.885 0.832 Pval: 0.001 -99.000 0.003 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 0.3 Standard Deviation: 0.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.3 0.2 0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 RMSE: 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 RMAE: 49.9 100.0 37.8 16.4 75.0 61.3 55.3 32.9 49.9 CORR: 0.592 -99.000 0.467 0.932 0.592 0.543 0.888 0.888 0.800 Pval: 0.001 -99.000 0.014 0.000 0.001 0.003 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 0.8 Standard Deviation: 0.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.4 RMSE: 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 RMAE: 28.4 22.9 18.8 16.6 25.7 23.4 21.4 20.7 20.7 CORR: 0.718 0.706 0.001 0.873 0.717 0.717 0.797 0.834 0.797 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.995 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 1.8 Standard Deviation: 1.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 0.2 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.8 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.8 RMAE: 38.5 29.2 55.5 19.4 33.8 38.6 27.4 26.5 32.7 CORR: 0.630 0.634 0.281 0.830 0.647 0.629 0.733 0.778 0.720 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.156 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 3.1 Standard Deviation: 1.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.6 0.1 0.2 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 MAE: 1.3 1.2 1.4 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMSE: 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.2 RMAE: 53.2 39.1 60.6 32.2 46.1 51.0 39.5 39.7 44.8 CORR: 0.379 0.340 0.249 0.793 0.371 0.354 0.708 0.758 0.648 Pval: 0.051 0.083 0.211 0.000 0.057 0.070 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 4.0 Standard Deviation: 1.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.0 0.3 -0.0 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 -0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.8 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 RMSE: 1.0 1.1 1.3 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.9 RMAE: 22.3 20.3 34.3 12.1 21.2 24.5 17.1 15.6 20.4 CORR: 0.594 0.582 0.430 0.898 0.591 0.578 0.788 0.849 0.745 Pval: 0.001 0.001 0.025 0.000 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 4.7 Standard Deviation: 1.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.1 -0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.8 0.8 1.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.8 RMSE: 1.1 1.2 1.4 0.7 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.8 1.0 RMAE: 19.6 19.5 30.3 12.5 19.4 21.9 16.7 15.7 18.5 CORR: 0.443 0.359 -0.086 0.819 0.416 0.348 0.660 0.749 0.636 Pval: 0.021 0.066 0.670 0.000 0.031 0.075 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 5.0 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.4 -0.1 0.0 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 MAE: 1.1 1.0 1.6 0.7 1.0 1.2 0.9 0.9 1.0 RMSE: 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.2 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.4 RMAE: 25.7 20.8 37.6 14.9 23.1 26.3 19.2 19.2 22.8 CORR: 0.452 0.300 0.312 0.747 0.417 0.436 0.639 0.696 0.614 Pval: 0.018 0.128 0.113 0.000 0.031 0.023 0.000 0.000 0.001 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 5.0 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.3 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 MAE: 1.2 1.1 1.4 0.5 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.7 1.0 RMSE: 1.4 1.5 1.6 0.7 1.4 1.4 1.1 0.9 1.2 RMAE: 28.5 24.5 34.1 10.9 26.5 28.2 19.4 16.8 22.4 CORR: 0.634 0.557 0.512 0.923 0.615 0.627 0.834 0.890 0.808 Pval: 0.000 0.003 0.006 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 3.7 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.1 0.1 -0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.2 1.1 1.4 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.9 RMSE: 1.4 1.5 1.6 0.7 1.4 1.4 1.1 0.9 1.1 RMAE: 38.8 37.7 47.7 14.0 38.1 40.6 27.7 23.4 31.7 CORR: 0.603 0.536 0.450 0.917 0.583 0.586 0.808 0.877 0.776 Pval: 0.001 0.004 0.018 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.1 Standard Deviation: 1.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.3 0.0 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 MAE: 1.0 0.9 1.3 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.9 RMSE: 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.2 RMAE: 44.0 32.8 68.8 32.7 38.2 45.5 35.2 36.5 39.8 CORR: 0.380 0.363 0.208 0.669 0.376 0.335 0.580 0.627 0.510 Pval: 0.051 0.062 0.298 0.000 0.053 0.087 0.002 0.000 0.007 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 0.6 Standard Deviation: 1.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.6 0.4 -0.0 -0.3 -0.0 -0.2 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.7 0.6 1.0 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.9 1.2 1.2 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8 RMAE: 51.9 100.0 64.2 37.4 73.3 58.1 61.3 43.9 52.5 CORR: 0.414 -99.000 0.212 0.799 0.414 0.322 0.788 0.788 0.665 Pval: 0.032 -99.000 0.289 0.000 0.032 0.102 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------