Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 2.0 Standard Deviation: 1.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.1 0.4 -0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 -0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.6 RMSE: 0.9 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.8 RMAE: 45.6 45.6 67.1 17.5 45.6 51.6 34.5 29.1 41.4 CORR: 0.674 0.526 0.570 0.959 0.638 0.665 0.841 0.891 0.808 Pval: 0.001 0.017 0.009 0.000 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 3.5 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 0.2 -0.0 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.3 1.2 1.5 0.4 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.7 1.0 RMSE: 1.5 1.7 1.6 0.5 1.6 1.6 1.1 0.9 1.2 RMAE: 50.3 45.4 60.8 14.5 47.9 51.7 33.3 27.3 39.9 CORR: 0.424 0.322 0.314 0.951 0.383 0.398 0.796 0.913 0.752 Pval: 0.062 0.166 0.178 0.000 0.095 0.082 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 4.9 Standard Deviation: 1.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.0 0.9 1.2 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.8 RMSE: 1.2 1.3 1.4 0.7 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.0 RMAE: 23.6 21.2 28.5 8.5 22.4 24.1 17.3 15.6 19.9 CORR: 0.607 0.563 0.494 0.897 0.595 0.592 0.779 0.837 0.743 Pval: 0.005 0.010 0.027 0.000 0.006 0.006 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 6.7 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.3 -0.4 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.1 1.1 1.3 0.5 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.9 RMSE: 1.4 1.7 1.5 0.6 1.5 1.4 1.1 0.9 1.2 RMAE: 19.0 18.0 20.9 7.6 18.5 19.1 14.2 12.2 15.8 CORR: 0.514 0.466 0.434 0.921 0.493 0.491 0.755 0.879 0.718 Pval: 0.021 0.039 0.056 0.000 0.027 0.028 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 8.5 Standard Deviation: 2.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.1 -0.2 0.0 0.1 -0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.4 1.2 1.7 0.5 1.3 1.5 1.0 0.8 1.1 RMSE: 1.7 1.9 1.9 0.7 1.8 1.7 1.3 1.1 1.4 RMAE: 18.4 15.3 21.5 6.5 16.8 18.4 12.2 10.8 14.4 CORR: 0.627 0.563 0.535 0.951 0.607 0.622 0.806 0.885 0.783 Pval: 0.003 0.010 0.015 0.000 0.005 0.003 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 9.4 Standard Deviation: 2.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.0 -0.2 -0.0 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 -0.1 MAE: 1.2 1.1 1.3 0.5 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.8 1.0 RMSE: 1.4 1.6 1.5 0.7 1.5 1.5 1.1 0.9 1.2 RMAE: 13.9 11.9 14.5 6.1 12.9 13.4 10.1 9.2 11.1 CORR: 0.760 0.691 0.753 0.945 0.740 0.756 0.869 0.914 0.848 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 8.8 Standard Deviation: 2.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.5 0.5 -0.0 -0.2 -0.0 -0.2 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.3 1.2 1.8 0.5 1.2 1.4 1.0 0.8 1.1 RMSE: 1.6 2.1 2.0 0.8 1.7 1.6 1.3 1.0 1.3 RMAE: 15.8 13.5 22.5 6.1 14.6 16.6 11.3 10.2 13.6 CORR: 0.594 0.339 0.416 0.914 0.515 0.570 0.801 0.872 0.773 Pval: 0.006 0.144 0.068 0.000 0.020 0.009 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 7.3 Standard Deviation: 2.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.1 0.2 -0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 -0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.4 1.3 2.0 0.4 1.3 1.5 1.0 0.8 1.2 RMSE: 1.8 2.1 2.2 0.7 1.9 1.9 1.3 1.0 1.4 RMAE: 20.4 19.5 28.6 7.7 20.0 22.2 14.8 12.4 17.3 CORR: 0.485 0.305 0.234 0.946 0.427 0.431 0.809 0.903 0.772 Pval: 0.030 0.191 0.321 0.000 0.061 0.058 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 5.8 Standard Deviation: 2.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.4 -0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.3 1.1 1.5 0.2 1.2 1.3 0.8 0.7 1.0 RMSE: 1.5 1.7 1.6 0.4 1.5 1.5 1.1 0.8 1.2 RMAE: 27.7 26.9 30.5 4.2 27.1 28.2 19.0 15.2 21.8 CORR: 0.722 0.659 0.661 0.983 0.706 0.717 0.873 0.929 0.848 Pval: 0.000 0.002 0.002 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 4.1 Standard Deviation: 2.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.0 MAE: 1.2 1.1 1.3 0.5 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.8 1.0 RMSE: 1.4 1.5 1.5 0.6 1.4 1.4 1.1 0.9 1.1 RMAE: 38.1 38.2 40.1 15.2 38.2 38.1 29.2 24.7 31.6 CORR: 0.719 0.673 0.687 0.948 0.708 0.710 0.852 0.899 0.823 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.3 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.1 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.3 1.1 1.8 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.0 1.2 RMSE: 1.7 1.8 2.1 1.4 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.6 RMAE: 58.3 46.2 100.6 61.0 52.2 63.5 51.4 54.0 58.3 CORR: 0.422 0.339 0.226 0.675 0.395 0.382 0.578 0.645 0.524 Pval: 0.064 0.144 0.338 0.001 0.085 0.097 0.008 0.002 0.018 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 1.5 Standard Deviation: 1.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.4 0.8 -0.0 -0.2 0.2 -0.1 -0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.9 0.8 1.5 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.8 RMSE: 1.2 1.3 1.7 0.3 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.7 1.0 RMAE: 42.4 30.9 94.3 17.1 36.6 48.5 27.4 25.6 38.3 CORR: 0.441 0.400 0.272 0.965 0.432 0.379 0.854 0.917 0.714 Pval: 0.052 0.080 0.246 0.000 0.057 0.099 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------