Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 1.9 Standard Deviation: 1.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 0.2 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.8 RMSE: 1.1 1.2 1.3 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 1.0 RMAE: 46.2 38.6 57.8 30.0 41.5 44.4 36.2 35.6 39.8 CORR: 0.393 0.275 0.247 0.785 0.347 0.367 0.605 0.707 0.573 Pval: 0.029 0.134 0.180 0.000 0.056 0.042 0.000 0.000 0.001 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 3.5 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 MAE: 1.3 1.2 1.5 0.6 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMSE: 1.5 1.6 1.6 0.8 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.0 1.2 RMAE: 52.8 46.3 60.2 19.8 49.5 52.5 36.8 32.0 42.1 CORR: 0.349 0.293 0.260 0.879 0.326 0.328 0.717 0.833 0.661 Pval: 0.054 0.110 0.157 0.000 0.073 0.071 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 4.9 Standard Deviation: 1.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.1 1.0 1.4 0.6 1.1 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.0 RMSE: 1.4 1.4 1.6 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.2 RMAE: 28.4 27.4 31.8 15.6 27.9 28.9 22.1 19.8 24.2 CORR: 0.378 0.331 0.306 0.781 0.361 0.368 0.647 0.732 0.574 Pval: 0.036 0.069 0.095 0.000 0.046 0.042 0.000 0.000 0.001 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 6.5 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.0 0.4 -0.2 -0.0 0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0.1 MAE: 1.1 1.0 1.3 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.8 1.0 RMSE: 1.3 1.5 1.5 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.0 1.1 RMAE: 19.1 17.2 22.5 12.0 18.1 19.2 15.2 14.4 16.7 CORR: 0.556 0.435 0.460 0.836 0.517 0.528 0.767 0.826 0.725 Pval: 0.001 0.014 0.009 0.000 0.003 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 8.0 Standard Deviation: 2.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 0.3 0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.5 1.4 1.7 0.9 1.4 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.3 RMSE: 1.8 1.9 2.0 1.2 1.8 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.6 RMAE: 19.5 17.0 24.3 12.7 18.1 20.0 15.0 14.2 17.1 CORR: 0.569 0.528 0.432 0.824 0.558 0.564 0.708 0.764 0.692 Pval: 0.001 0.002 0.015 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 8.9 Standard Deviation: 2.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.3 1.3 1.4 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.0 1.1 RMSE: 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.1 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.4 RMAE: 14.9 14.5 16.8 11.0 14.7 14.9 12.9 12.1 13.3 CORR: 0.651 0.644 0.606 0.837 0.649 0.641 0.762 0.805 0.731 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 8.4 Standard Deviation: 1.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.0 0.4 -0.1 0.0 0.2 -0.0 -0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.1 1.0 1.7 0.7 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.9 1.0 RMSE: 1.5 1.6 2.0 1.0 1.5 1.6 1.3 1.1 1.3 RMAE: 14.4 13.5 22.2 9.4 13.9 15.6 11.9 11.3 13.2 CORR: 0.608 0.602 0.374 0.858 0.606 0.577 0.760 0.816 0.721 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.038 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 6.8 Standard Deviation: 2.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.2 1.2 1.8 0.7 1.2 1.3 1.0 0.9 1.2 RMSE: 1.7 1.8 2.1 1.0 1.7 1.7 1.4 1.2 1.5 RMAE: 21.4 19.5 29.2 12.7 20.4 22.7 16.9 15.8 19.5 CORR: 0.540 0.499 0.399 0.872 0.532 0.505 0.756 0.806 0.681 Pval: 0.002 0.004 0.026 0.000 0.002 0.004 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 5.4 Standard Deviation: 2.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.1 1.0 1.7 0.6 1.0 1.2 0.9 0.8 1.0 RMSE: 1.4 1.5 1.8 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.3 RMAE: 26.3 24.8 36.9 17.5 25.5 28.0 21.8 20.8 24.6 CORR: 0.688 0.657 0.454 0.881 0.680 0.662 0.786 0.827 0.758 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.010 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 3.7 Standard Deviation: 1.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.0 0.3 -0.0 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 -0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.2 1.1 1.6 0.6 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.8 1.0 RMSE: 1.5 1.5 1.8 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.3 RMAE: 39.4 34.9 62.8 22.5 36.9 44.5 31.2 29.8 37.6 CORR: 0.647 0.625 0.360 0.871 0.641 0.630 0.771 0.821 0.756 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.047 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.3 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.7 0.8 -0.0 -0.4 0.0 -0.3 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.4 1.3 1.8 0.7 1.3 1.4 1.1 1.0 1.2 RMSE: 1.6 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.7 1.7 1.4 1.2 1.5 RMAE: 67.9 43.7 107.6 35.7 55.8 69.5 45.3 46.4 58.0 CORR: 0.354 0.174 0.178 0.800 0.285 0.253 0.653 0.775 0.554 Pval: 0.051 0.350 0.339 0.000 0.120 0.170 0.000 0.000 0.001 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 1.4 Standard Deviation: 1.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 0.5 0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.8 RMSE: 1.2 1.3 1.4 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMAE: 28.9 28.4 47.3 25.6 28.5 32.3 23.2 22.2 26.7 CORR: 0.294 0.197 0.244 0.738 0.272 0.266 0.618 0.736 0.519 Pval: 0.109 0.289 0.186 0.000 0.139 0.148 0.000 0.000 0.003 ------------------------------------------------