Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 2.0 Standard Deviation: 1.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.8 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.7 RMSE: 1.0 1.0 1.2 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.9 RMAE: 42.7 38.5 65.7 19.7 40.6 45.1 32.3 29.2 37.6 CORR: 0.556 0.497 0.364 0.851 0.539 0.535 0.747 0.802 0.696 Pval: 0.003 0.008 0.062 0.000 0.004 0.004 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 3.4 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -1.0 0.3 -0.1 -0.5 -0.2 -0.4 -0.0 -0.2 MAE: 1.4 1.2 1.5 0.7 1.3 1.4 1.1 1.0 1.2 RMSE: 1.5 1.9 1.6 1.1 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.4 RMAE: 54.0 28.9 64.0 28.0 41.3 48.6 35.9 39.6 42.7 CORR: 0.291 0.223 0.211 0.732 0.260 0.251 0.587 0.693 0.531 Pval: 0.141 0.263 0.291 0.000 0.191 0.207 0.001 0.000 0.004 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 4.8 Standard Deviation: 1.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.4 -0.1 -0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.1 1.0 1.4 0.7 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 RMSE: 1.4 1.5 1.5 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.2 RMAE: 29.4 30.4 34.2 17.6 29.9 30.6 24.8 22.3 26.5 CORR: 0.435 0.350 0.234 0.791 0.408 0.405 0.675 0.749 0.638 Pval: 0.023 0.074 0.239 0.000 0.035 0.036 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 6.5 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.2 0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 MAE: 1.2 1.2 1.4 0.7 1.2 1.3 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMSE: 1.5 1.6 1.7 0.9 1.6 1.6 1.3 1.1 1.3 RMAE: 21.3 19.4 24.6 11.8 20.3 21.2 16.7 15.7 18.3 CORR: 0.402 0.337 0.299 0.848 0.382 0.389 0.703 0.783 0.644 Pval: 0.038 0.086 0.130 0.000 0.049 0.045 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 8.1 Standard Deviation: 2.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.2 0.3 -0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 -0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.3 1.3 1.6 0.6 1.3 1.4 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMSE: 1.6 1.7 1.8 0.7 1.6 1.6 1.2 1.0 1.3 RMAE: 16.8 16.2 21.5 7.1 16.5 17.7 12.6 10.8 14.2 CORR: 0.708 0.687 0.635 0.946 0.702 0.700 0.848 0.897 0.826 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 9.0 Standard Deviation: 2.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.1 -0.5 0.0 -0.0 -0.2 -0.0 0.0 -0.1 MAE: 1.3 1.2 1.7 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMSE: 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.0 1.6 1.7 1.3 1.2 1.4 RMAE: 15.4 14.0 19.9 9.0 14.6 16.1 12.1 11.2 13.5 CORR: 0.665 0.635 0.568 0.894 0.657 0.654 0.804 0.850 0.768 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 8.4 Standard Deviation: 2.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.5 0.2 -0.0 -0.3 -0.1 -0.2 -0.0 -0.1 MAE: 1.4 1.3 1.8 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.3 RMSE: 1.7 2.1 2.0 1.2 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.5 RMAE: 17.4 15.7 23.1 11.6 16.5 17.6 14.4 13.8 15.8 CORR: 0.543 0.369 0.434 0.815 0.484 0.511 0.686 0.753 0.648 Pval: 0.003 0.059 0.024 0.000 0.011 0.006 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 7.0 Standard Deviation: 2.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.3 0.4 0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.4 1.3 1.9 0.9 1.4 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.3 RMSE: 1.9 1.9 2.3 1.4 1.9 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.7 RMAE: 22.7 20.4 31.5 14.5 21.5 24.0 18.7 17.9 21.0 CORR: 0.391 0.383 0.060 0.731 0.388 0.331 0.614 0.680 0.562 Pval: 0.044 0.049 0.767 0.000 0.045 0.092 0.001 0.000 0.002 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 5.6 Standard Deviation: 2.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.3 1.2 1.4 0.6 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.8 1.0 RMSE: 1.6 1.6 1.7 0.8 1.6 1.6 1.2 1.0 1.3 RMAE: 28.5 25.5 32.2 12.6 27.0 28.6 20.5 18.0 23.0 CORR: 0.650 0.609 0.591 0.921 0.638 0.637 0.820 0.876 0.789 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 3.9 Standard Deviation: 1.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.2 -0.2 -0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.2 1.2 1.5 0.5 1.2 1.3 0.9 0.8 1.0 RMSE: 1.5 1.7 1.7 0.7 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.0 1.2 RMAE: 42.0 44.6 46.7 15.2 43.3 44.1 31.9 25.8 35.3 CORR: 0.600 0.508 0.469 0.917 0.571 0.569 0.799 0.873 0.767 Pval: 0.001 0.007 0.014 0.000 0.002 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.3 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.2 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 MAE: 1.2 1.1 1.8 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.8 1.0 RMSE: 1.6 1.6 2.1 0.7 1.6 1.7 1.2 1.0 1.3 RMAE: 53.7 43.0 85.0 27.7 47.5 55.4 38.3 37.1 45.3 CORR: 0.343 0.330 0.157 0.923 0.338 0.294 0.792 0.896 0.660 Pval: 0.080 0.092 0.435 0.000 0.084 0.137 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 1.4 Standard Deviation: 1.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 0.0 -0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 MAE: 0.9 0.8 1.3 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.8 RMSE: 1.2 1.2 1.5 0.7 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.8 1.0 RMAE: 38.7 26.5 67.6 30.6 32.2 40.9 30.8 33.7 36.7 CORR: 0.342 0.272 0.097 0.826 0.321 0.282 0.739 0.822 0.645 Pval: 0.081 0.171 0.631 0.000 0.103 0.155 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------