Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 10.0 Standard Deviation: 10.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 1324.0 1739.0 391.2 2.0 1531.5 1151.4 1021.6 663.0 864.0 MAE: 1324.0 1739.0 391.2 10.4 1531.5 1151.4 1021.6 663.0 864.0 RMSE: 1324.1 1739.1 391.5 10.5 1531.6 1151.5 1021.7 663.1 864.2 RMAE: 30729.3 40304.7 9221.0 222.3 35517.0 26751.7 23736.5 15452.5 20107.7 CORR: -0.658 -0.699 -0.620 -99.000 -0.682 -0.666 -0.681 -0.659 -0.665 Pval: 0.228 0.189 0.265 -99.000 0.205 0.220 0.206 0.227 0.220 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 8.8 Standard Deviation: 10.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -8.8 -8.8 -8.8 -8.6 -8.8 -8.8 -8.7 -8.7 -8.8 MAE: 8.8 8.8 8.8 9.0 8.8 8.8 8.9 8.9 8.8 RMSE: 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 RMAE: 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 CORR: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -0.405 -99.000 -99.000 -0.405 -0.405 -0.405 Pval: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 0.499 -99.000 -99.000 0.499 0.499 0.499 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 7.4 Standard Deviation: 11.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -7.4 -7.4 1353.9 -1.9 -7.4 446.4 -5.6 -4.6 334.3 MAE: 7.4 7.4 1353.9 8.5 7.4 446.4 7.8 8.0 334.3 RMSE: 13.8 13.8 1355.2 11.8 13.8 446.9 12.9 12.5 334.8 RMAE: 100.0 100.0 11760.9 51.5 100.0 3853.6 83.8 75.7 2877.4 CORR: -99.000 -99.000 0.136 NaN -99.000 0.136 -99.000 NaN 0.136 Pval: -99.000 -99.000 0.827 NaN -99.000 0.827 -99.000 NaN 0.827 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 19.2 Standard Deviation: 11.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -19.2 -19.2 -19.2 -9.9 -19.2 -19.2 -16.1 -14.5 -16.9 MAE: 19.2 19.2 19.2 13.6 19.2 19.2 17.3 16.4 17.8 RMSE: 22.2 22.2 22.2 14.9 22.2 22.2 19.6 18.3 20.2 RMAE: 100.0 100.0 100.0 57.3 100.0 100.0 85.8 78.7 89.3 CORR: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 Pval: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 34.8 Standard Deviation: 10.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -34.8 -34.8 -34.8 -13.8 -34.8 -34.8 -27.8 -24.3 -29.5 MAE: 34.8 34.8 34.8 15.4 34.8 34.8 27.8 24.3 29.5 RMSE: 36.2 36.2 36.2 17.1 36.2 36.2 29.6 26.3 31.2 RMAE: 100.0 100.0 100.0 40.9 100.0 100.0 77.1 65.7 82.8 CORR: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 Pval: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 56.2 Standard Deviation: 22.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -56.2 -56.2 -56.2 61.6 -56.2 -56.2 -16.9 2.7 -26.8 MAE: 56.2 56.2 56.2 61.6 56.2 56.2 20.6 20.8 26.8 RMSE: 60.6 60.6 60.6 65.6 60.6 60.6 28.3 22.9 35.1 RMAE: 100.0 100.0 100.0 144.8 100.0 100.0 30.7 43.2 38.8 CORR: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -0.001 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -0.001 -0.001 Pval: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 0.999 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 0.999 0.999 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 56.6 Standard Deviation: 25.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 8272.5 12521.3 4888.6 78.2 10396.9 8560.8 6957.3 4175.3 6440.1 MAE: 8272.5 12521.3 4888.6 78.2 10396.9 8560.8 6957.3 4175.3 6440.1 RMSE: 8273.6 12522.3 4890.1 82.1 10398.0 8561.9 6958.0 4175.9 6441.0 RMAE: 17354.8 26255.9 10264.8 182.4 21805.3 17958.5 14597.7 8768.6 13514.4 CORR: 0.131 0.148 0.122 -99.000 0.140 0.135 0.140 0.131 0.135 Pval: 0.834 0.812 0.845 -99.000 0.822 0.829 0.822 0.834 0.829 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 61.4 Standard Deviation: 33.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 68.8 38.1 60.4 17.6 53.5 55.8 41.5 43.2 46.2 MAE: 92.4 63.9 102.9 36.0 78.2 86.4 63.4 63.2 73.3 RMSE: 122.7 92.1 135.5 61.6 106.7 115.8 90.6 90.0 101.4 RMAE: 311.8 211.3 296.8 116.2 261.5 273.3 209.4 208.5 231.2 CORR: -0.541 -0.463 -0.398 -0.065 -0.510 -0.465 -0.412 -0.384 -0.409 Pval: 0.346 0.433 0.507 0.918 0.380 0.430 0.491 0.523 0.494 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 51.6 Standard Deviation: 23.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -51.6 -51.6 473.0 -18.9 -51.6 123.3 -40.7 -35.2 87.7 MAE: 51.6 51.6 473.0 23.9 51.6 123.3 40.7 35.2 87.7 RMSE: 56.7 56.7 479.5 30.1 56.7 126.7 47.0 42.3 91.3 RMAE: 100.0 100.0 1140.2 39.8 100.0 313.4 73.4 60.1 230.0 CORR: -99.000 -99.000 0.364 -99.000 -99.000 0.364 NaN -99.000 0.364 Pval: -99.000 -99.000 0.547 -99.000 -99.000 0.547 NaN -99.000 0.547 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 45.4 Standard Deviation: 23.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 20213.3 -45.4 -45.4 -44.4 10084.0 6707.5 6707.8 10084.4 5019.5 MAE: 20213.3 45.4 45.4 44.4 10084.0 6707.5 6707.8 10084.4 5019.5 RMSE: 20213.6 51.0 51.0 50.1 10084.1 6707.6 6707.9 10084.6 5019.6 RMAE: 69398.0 100.0 100.0 96.6 34649.0 23066.0 23067.1 34650.7 17275.3 CORR: 0.132 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 0.132 0.132 0.132 0.132 0.132 Pval: 0.833 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 0.833 0.833 0.833 0.833 0.833 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 26.2 Standard Deviation: 15.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -26.2 -26.2 -26.2 3.7 -26.2 -26.2 -16.2 -11.3 -18.7 MAE: 26.2 26.2 26.2 13.0 26.2 26.2 20.2 17.2 21.7 RMSE: 30.6 30.6 30.6 16.1 30.6 30.6 22.6 19.3 24.5 RMAE: 100.0 100.0 100.0 27.6 100.0 100.0 66.5 49.8 74.9 CORR: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 Pval: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 16.0 Standard Deviation: 18.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 128.3 -16.0 45.0 -5.6 56.1 52.4 35.5 61.3 37.9 MAE: 128.3 16.0 51.6 13.3 56.1 52.4 37.0 61.3 40.7 RMSE: 130.7 24.5 55.4 19.4 60.2 58.1 41.1 65.0 44.5 RMAE: 2352.4 100.0 936.4 135.1 1126.2 1057.5 779.6 1214.0 818.8 CORR: -0.895 -99.000 -0.734 -99.000 -0.895 -0.792 -0.895 -0.895 -0.792 Pval: 0.040 -99.000 0.158 -99.000 0.040 0.110 0.040 0.040 0.110 ------------------------------------------------