Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 29.2 Standard Deviation: 19.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 14149.4 20660.6 11336.1 -25.9 17405.0 15382.0 11594.7 7061.7 11530.0 MAE: 14149.4 20660.6 11336.1 27.2 17405.0 15382.0 11594.7 7061.7 11530.0 RMSE: 14149.4 20660.6 11336.1 32.3 17405.0 15382.0 11594.7 7061.8 11530.1 RMAE: 47741.5 69706.7 38218.8 88.9 58724.1 51889.0 39119.8 23826.3 38894.5 CORR: 0.635 0.614 -0.343 -99.000 0.639 0.321 0.603 0.603 0.357 Pval: 0.250 0.271 0.572 -99.000 0.246 0.598 0.282 0.282 0.555 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 43.6 Standard Deviation: 18.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -43.6 -43.6 -43.6 90.6 -43.6 -43.6 1.1 23.5 -10.0 MAE: 43.6 43.6 43.6 90.6 43.6 43.6 15.1 25.5 17.3 RMSE: 47.3 47.3 47.3 92.5 47.3 47.3 18.5 29.9 21.0 RMAE: 100.0 100.0 100.0 289.8 100.0 100.0 51.3 97.6 43.5 CORR: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 0.000 -99.000 -99.000 Pval: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 1.000 -99.000 -99.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 63.6 Standard Deviation: 27.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -63.6 -63.6 96928.5 -63.6 -63.6 32267.1 -63.6 -63.6 24184.4 MAE: 63.6 63.6 96928.5 63.6 63.6 32267.1 63.6 63.6 24184.4 RMSE: 69.4 69.4 96928.5 69.4 69.4 32267.1 69.4 69.4 24184.4 RMAE: 100.0 100.0186663.0 100.0 100.0 62154.3 100.0 100.0 46590.8 CORR: -99.000 -99.000 0.321 -99.000 -99.000 0.350 -99.000 -99.000 0.321 Pval: -99.000 -99.000 0.598 -99.000 -99.000 0.564 -99.000 -99.000 0.598 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 75.8 Standard Deviation: 27.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -75.8 -75.8 -75.8 -75.8 -75.8 -75.8 -75.8 -75.8 -75.8 MAE: 75.8 75.8 75.8 75.8 75.8 75.8 75.8 75.8 75.8 RMSE: 80.5 80.5 80.5 80.5 80.5 80.5 80.5 80.5 80.5 RMAE: 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 CORR: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 Pval: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 96.2 Standard Deviation: 35.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -96.2 -96.2 -96.2 -38.6 -96.2 -96.2 -77.0 -67.4 -81.8 MAE: 96.2 96.2 96.2 42.5 96.2 96.2 77.0 67.4 81.8 RMSE: 102.5 102.5 102.5 52.3 102.5 102.5 84.7 76.1 89.1 RMAE: 100.0 100.0 100.0 37.8 100.0 100.0 76.6 64.9 82.5 CORR: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 NaN -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 NaN NaN Pval: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 NaN -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 NaN NaN ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 107.8 Standard Deviation: 44.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 4245.6 2808.5 3558.9 128.5 3527.1 3537.7 2394.2 2187.1 2685.4 MAE: 4245.6 2808.5 3558.9 128.5 3527.1 3537.7 2394.2 2187.1 2685.4 RMSE: 4254.2 2824.1 3567.2 135.9 3538.4 3547.9 2401.4 2191.1 2692.8 RMAE: 4640.3 3056.5 3902.8 158.7 3848.4 3866.5 2618.5 2399.5 2939.6 CORR: 0.368 0.420 0.269 NaN 0.396 0.359 0.396 0.368 0.359 Pval: 0.542 0.481 0.662 NaN 0.510 0.553 0.510 0.542 0.553 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 102.0 Standard Deviation: 43.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -102.0 -102.0 190.5 46.4 -102.0 -4.5 -52.5 -27.8 8.2 MAE: 102.0 102.0 190.5 48.8 102.0 38.7 53.2 44.8 36.3 RMSE: 110.8 110.8 201.4 61.8 110.8 41.7 67.5 50.3 41.4 RMAE: 100.0 100.0 245.7 82.8 100.0 47.3 41.1 43.4 52.2 CORR: -99.000 -99.000 0.330 0.503 -99.000 0.330 0.503 0.503 0.344 Pval: -99.000 -99.000 0.587 0.388 -99.000 0.587 0.388 0.388 0.571 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 87.6 Standard Deviation: 44.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 37807.3 41653.0 48566.8 144.6 39730.2 42675.7 26535.0 18976.0 32042.9 MAE: 37807.3 41653.0 48566.8 144.6 39730.2 42675.7 26535.0 18976.0 32042.9 RMSE: 37807.3 41653.1 48566.8 151.2 39730.2 42675.7 26535.0 18976.0 32043.0 RMAE: 64438.1 71030.6 82803.8 295.6 67734.3 72757.5 45254.7 32366.8 54642.0 CORR: 0.600 -0.519 -0.169 NaN 0.061 -99.000 0.099 0.599 -0.009 Pval: 0.285 0.370 0.786 NaN 0.922 -99.000 0.874 0.285 0.988 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 67.6 Standard Deviation: 29.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -67.6 1700.6 -67.6 101.5 816.5 521.8 578.2 16.9 416.7 MAE: 67.6 1700.6 67.6 101.5 816.5 521.8 578.2 26.9 416.7 RMSE: 73.6 1701.3 73.6 105.6 817.3 522.9 579.2 33.7 418.0 RMAE: 100.0 3365.9 100.0 230.2 1633.0 1055.3 1165.4 75.0 849.0 CORR: -99.000 -0.351 -99.000 -99.000 -0.351 -0.351 -0.351 -99.000 -0.351 Pval: -99.000 0.562 -99.000 -99.000 0.562 0.562 0.562 -99.000 0.562 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 50.6 Standard Deviation: 28.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 8922.0 4428.4 1149.9 117.9 6675.2 4833.5 4489.4 4520.0 3654.6 MAE: 8922.0 4428.4 1149.9 117.9 6675.2 4833.5 4489.4 4520.0 3654.6 RMSE: 8922.4 4429.6 1155.9 121.3 6675.9 4834.5 4490.0 4520.3 3655.5 RMAE: 29417.5 14737.0 4049.4 451.1 22077.2 16068.0 14868.5 14934.3 12163.8 CORR: -0.789 -0.692 -0.706 0.556 -0.740 -0.727 -0.739 -0.788 -0.726 Pval: 0.113 0.195 0.182 0.331 0.153 0.164 0.154 0.113 0.165 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 29.0 Standard Deviation: 17.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -29.0 -29.0 17546.2 -10.4 -29.0 5829.4 -22.8 -19.7 4369.4 MAE: 29.0 29.0 17546.2 17.8 29.0 5829.4 25.3 23.4 4369.4 RMSE: 33.9 33.9 17547.1 20.4 33.9 5829.8 28.8 26.4 4369.8 RMAE: 100.0 100.0 53965.2 42.5 100.0 17921.8 80.8 71.2 13430.7 CORR: -99.000 -99.000 -0.383 -99.000 -99.000 -0.383 -99.000 -99.000 -0.383 Pval: -99.000 -99.000 0.525 -99.000 -99.000 0.524 -99.000 -99.000 0.525 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 17.4 Standard Deviation: 18.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 22583.0 25775.2 30867.9 -7.7 24179.1 26408.7 16116.8 11287.6 19804.6 MAE: 22583.0 25775.2 30867.9 14.7 24179.1 26408.7 16116.8 11287.6 19804.6 RMSE: 22584.3 25775.9 30869.2 20.3 24180.1 26409.8 16117.5 11288.3 19805.4 RMAE: 370845.8424185.5507316.3 131.7397515.6434115.9265030.3185452.7325601.8 CORR: -0.414 -0.380 -0.415 -99.000 -0.399 -0.406 -0.400 -0.414 -0.406 Pval: 0.488 0.528 0.488 -99.000 0.505 0.498 0.505 0.488 0.498 ------------------------------------------------