Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 2.8 Standard Deviation: 1.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 1545.2 1062.1 2554.6 -1.7 1303.7 1720.6 868.5 771.8 1290.1 MAE: 1545.2 1062.1 2554.6 2.1 1303.7 1720.6 868.5 771.8 1290.1 RMSE: 1545.4 1062.2 2554.8 2.2 1303.8 1720.8 868.7 771.9 1290.2 RMAE: 44902.1 30842.1 74267.7 67.2 37872.1 50003.9 25225.6 22417.4 37486.2 CORR: -0.741 -0.727 -0.753 -99.000 -0.736 -0.744 -0.735 -0.742 -0.744 Pval: 0.152 0.164 0.142 -99.000 0.157 0.150 0.157 0.151 0.149 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 4.0 Standard Deviation: 1.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -4.0 -4.0 -4.0 -1.9 -4.0 -4.0 -3.3 -3.0 -3.5 MAE: 4.0 4.0 4.0 1.9 4.0 4.0 3.3 3.0 3.5 RMSE: 4.2 4.2 4.2 2.4 4.2 4.2 3.6 3.3 3.8 RMAE: 100.0 100.0 100.0 41.2 100.0 100.0 79.8 69.7 84.9 CORR: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 0.000 -99.000 -99.000 Pval: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 1.000 -99.000 -99.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 5.4 Standard Deviation: 2.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -5.4 -5.4 -5.4 -5.4 -5.4 -5.4 -5.4 -5.4 -5.4 MAE: 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 RMSE: 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 RMAE: 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 CORR: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 Pval: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 7.2 Standard Deviation: 2.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -7.2 -7.2 -7.2 -0.1 -7.2 -7.2 -4.8 -3.6 -5.4 MAE: 7.2 7.2 7.2 1.5 7.2 7.2 4.8 3.6 5.4 RMSE: 7.5 7.5 7.5 2.0 7.5 7.5 5.2 4.2 5.8 RMAE: 100.0 100.0 100.0 20.3 100.0 100.0 64.6 46.9 73.4 CORR: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 Pval: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 8.4 Standard Deviation: 2.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -8.4 -8.4 -8.4 -7.2 -8.4 -8.4 -8.0 -7.8 -8.1 MAE: 8.4 8.4 8.4 7.2 8.4 8.4 8.0 7.8 8.1 RMSE: 8.9 8.9 8.9 7.7 8.9 8.9 8.5 8.3 8.6 RMAE: 100.0 100.0 100.0 83.7 100.0 100.0 94.6 91.8 95.9 CORR: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 Pval: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 9.4 Standard Deviation: 3.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 6030.7 4677.4 6411.1 8.5 5354.1 5706.4 3572.2 3019.6 4281.9 MAE: 6030.7 4677.4 6411.1 8.5 5354.1 5706.4 3572.2 3019.6 4281.9 RMSE: 6030.8 4677.4 6411.1 9.3 5354.1 5706.4 3572.2 3019.6 4281.9 RMAE: 73807.8 57242.0 78469.0 118.6 65524.9 69839.6 43722.8 36963.2 52409.4 CORR: -0.426 0.066 -0.413 -99.000 -99.000 -0.925 -0.288 -0.674 -0.566 Pval: 0.475 0.916 0.489 -99.000 -99.000 0.024 0.638 0.212 0.320 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 9.0 Standard Deviation: 3.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -9.0 -9.0 -9.0 -7.0 -9.0 -9.0 -8.3 -8.0 -8.5 MAE: 9.0 9.0 9.0 7.0 9.0 9.0 8.3 8.0 8.5 RMSE: 9.6 9.6 9.6 7.8 9.6 9.6 9.0 8.7 9.2 RMAE: 100.0 100.0 100.0 73.8 100.0 100.0 91.3 86.9 93.4 CORR: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 Pval: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 7.8 Standard Deviation: 2.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 1490.7 1067.2 3099.7 8.1 1279.0 1885.9 855.3 749.4 1416.4 MAE: 1490.7 1067.2 3099.7 8.1 1279.0 1885.9 855.3 749.4 1416.4 RMSE: 1490.9 1067.5 3100.1 8.5 1279.2 1886.1 855.5 749.5 1416.6 RMAE: 21774.6 15570.0 45273.2 132.8 18672.3 27539.3 12492.5 10953.7 20687.7 CORR: 0.481 0.468 0.471 -99.000 0.475 0.473 0.475 0.481 0.473 Pval: 0.412 0.427 0.424 -99.000 0.419 0.421 0.419 0.412 0.421 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 6.4 Standard Deviation: 1.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 94.6 26.2 126.5 -6.0 60.4 82.5 38.3 44.3 60.3 MAE: 94.6 26.2 126.5 6.0 60.4 82.5 38.3 44.3 60.3 RMSE: 95.4 28.5 127.0 6.5 61.5 83.2 38.9 44.7 60.9 RMAE: 1649.6 413.9 2233.3 87.3 1031.8 1432.3 658.8 781.2 1052.4 CORR: 0.565 0.734 0.415 -0.917 0.652 0.578 0.635 0.524 0.565 Pval: 0.321 0.158 0.487 0.029 0.233 0.307 0.250 0.364 0.321 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 4.4 Standard Deviation: 1.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -4.4 -4.4 -4.4 -4.4 -4.4 -4.4 -4.4 -4.4 -4.4 MAE: 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 RMSE: 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 RMAE: 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 CORR: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 Pval: -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 -99.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 3.0 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 995.8 1326.3 -3.0 -1.2 1161.0 773.0 773.6 497.3 579.4 MAE: 995.8 1326.3 3.0 1.9 1161.0 773.0 773.6 497.3 579.4 RMSE: 995.9 1326.3 3.5 2.2 1161.1 773.1 773.6 497.3 579.5 RMAE: 29628.7 39562.7 100.0 47.3 34595.7 23030.5 23048.0 14790.7 17261.0 CORR: -0.233 -0.356 -99.000 -99.000 -0.293 -0.293 -0.293 -0.233 -0.293 Pval: 0.706 0.557 -99.000 -99.000 0.633 0.632 0.633 0.706 0.633 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 2.0 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 736.6 886.4 -2.0 -0.6 811.5 540.3 540.8 368.0 405.1 MAE: 736.6 886.4 2.0 1.5 811.5 540.3 540.8 368.0 405.1 RMSE: 736.6 886.4 2.6 1.8 811.5 540.4 540.8 368.0 405.1 RMAE: 45998.1 55471.7 100.0 53.8 50734.9 33789.9 33819.8 22993.9 25339.9 CORR: -0.331 -0.686 -99.000 -99.000 -0.420 -0.420 -0.420 -0.331 -0.420 Pval: 0.586 0.201 -99.000 -99.000 0.481 0.482 0.482 0.586 0.482 ------------------------------------------------