Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 1.3 Standard Deviation: 3.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.4 MAE: 1.1 1.0 1.2 0.3 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.9 RMSE: 1.6 1.8 1.6 0.4 1.6 1.6 1.2 0.9 1.2 RMAE: 28.5 11.8 40.3 19.2 20.1 26.9 19.8 23.9 25.0 CORR: 0.877 0.838 0.877 0.990 0.858 0.877 0.936 0.967 0.931 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 3.1 Standard Deviation: 6.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.6 -2.4 1.0 0.2 -0.9 -0.3 -0.5 0.4 -0.1 MAE: 3.3 3.0 3.3 0.9 3.2 3.2 2.4 2.1 2.6 RMSE: 4.5 6.7 4.7 1.7 5.2 4.8 3.8 2.7 3.8 RMAE: 78.8 73.2 94.9 32.6 76.0 82.3 61.4 55.6 69.8 CORR: 0.773 0.554 0.728 0.969 0.756 0.762 0.933 0.939 0.898 Pval: 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 10.8 Standard Deviation: 11.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.2 -0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 MAE: 6.1 5.7 7.2 2.2 5.9 6.3 4.6 4.1 5.2 RMSE: 7.2 8.1 8.1 3.5 7.5 7.4 5.7 4.8 6.0 RMAE: 108.4 88.7 118.4 35.6 98.6 104.6 77.1 71.3 86.9 CORR: 0.787 0.727 0.747 0.955 0.766 0.779 0.876 0.919 0.868 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 24.8 Standard Deviation: 16.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.2 2.7 0.0 -0.6 1.4 1.0 0.7 -0.2 0.6 MAE: 8.7 7.7 11.6 4.3 8.2 9.1 6.7 6.2 7.7 RMSE: 11.0 11.8 13.3 5.7 11.2 11.2 8.4 7.1 9.1 RMAE: 152.9 174.2 136.9 23.6 163.6 153.5 114.6 84.8 119.4 CORR: 0.757 0.727 0.634 0.942 0.749 0.749 0.876 0.913 0.848 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 41.4 Standard Deviation: 23.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -1.0 -2.8 -0.1 -0.5 -1.3 -0.4 -0.0 -1.0 MAE: 10.4 9.4 15.9 4.7 9.9 11.4 7.7 6.8 9.3 RMSE: 13.9 14.5 17.5 7.4 14.0 14.3 10.6 9.2 11.7 RMAE: 39.5 34.3 53.8 23.0 36.9 40.1 30.0 27.9 33.7 CORR: 0.798 0.787 0.718 0.947 0.796 0.791 0.891 0.922 0.864 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 58.9 Standard Deviation: 22.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 1.1 3.0 -0.1 0.5 1.4 0.3 -0.1 1.0 MAE: 10.6 9.2 15.1 4.6 9.9 10.8 7.6 6.9 9.1 RMSE: 14.0 15.5 17.6 5.8 14.4 14.5 10.7 8.8 11.7 RMAE: 20.7 16.5 33.9 9.0 18.6 22.4 14.5 13.7 18.6 CORR: 0.771 0.743 0.647 0.964 0.762 0.756 0.875 0.922 0.850 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 73.2 Standard Deviation: 25.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -2.5 2.3 -1.4 -1.2 -0.0 -1.3 -0.7 -0.4 MAE: 13.9 11.5 17.5 5.9 12.5 14.2 9.4 8.4 11.1 RMSE: 17.2 18.9 19.4 7.7 17.7 17.4 13.0 10.7 13.9 RMAE: 20.2 15.1 27.8 8.7 17.5 21.0 13.0 12.0 16.2 CORR: 0.736 0.682 0.652 0.955 0.721 0.730 0.865 0.915 0.847 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 81.4 Standard Deviation: 32.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -1.8 3.3 0.1 -0.9 0.5 -0.6 0.1 0.4 MAE: 18.4 16.0 30.4 10.5 17.1 20.2 14.3 13.5 16.8 RMSE: 24.2 26.3 34.2 15.2 24.8 25.4 19.7 17.4 21.4 RMAE: 29.1 23.7 47.8 21.7 26.2 31.6 23.9 24.1 27.7 CORR: 0.672 0.615 0.486 0.886 0.656 0.640 0.806 0.860 0.756 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.010 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 79.4 Standard Deviation: 31.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.6 -0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 MAE: 11.7 10.4 15.0 4.7 11.0 12.2 8.3 7.3 9.9 RMSE: 14.0 16.5 16.7 8.3 14.6 14.5 11.6 10.0 12.2 RMAE: 18.4 16.9 23.8 6.0 17.6 19.5 13.1 11.2 15.6 CORR: 0.894 0.858 0.868 0.964 0.885 0.889 0.928 0.948 0.921 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 57.6 Standard Deviation: 29.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -4.4 2.9 -1.1 -2.2 -0.5 -1.8 -0.5 -0.6 MAE: 14.6 13.6 20.3 7.9 14.1 15.8 11.4 10.4 13.4 RMSE: 17.9 20.6 22.3 11.6 18.6 18.8 14.7 13.1 15.8 RMAE: 31.4 27.7 54.1 17.1 29.5 37.1 24.2 22.5 31.2 CORR: 0.798 0.771 0.669 0.922 0.790 0.776 0.873 0.904 0.850 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 31.0 Standard Deviation: 20.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.1 -2.4 2.2 -0.3 -1.2 -0.0 -0.9 -0.1 -0.1 MAE: 12.0 10.6 16.8 6.2 11.3 12.2 9.4 8.8 10.5 RMSE: 15.5 17.4 19.7 9.1 16.0 15.9 12.9 11.5 13.6 RMAE: 46.7 40.0 63.2 28.3 43.3 46.2 37.1 35.6 41.0 CORR: 0.664 0.587 0.495 0.898 0.641 0.645 0.789 0.840 0.759 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.009 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 7.9 Standard Deviation: 13.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.8 -2.4 3.9 0.4 -0.8 0.8 -0.4 0.6 0.7 MAE: 6.9 5.6 10.0 2.6 6.2 7.3 5.0 4.8 6.1 RMSE: 10.3 11.5 12.8 5.0 10.6 10.6 7.9 6.6 8.5 RMAE: 50.0 46.6 95.2 21.2 48.3 61.4 39.3 35.6 51.3 CORR: 0.671 0.579 0.548 0.933 0.652 0.645 0.872 0.912 0.816 Pval: 0.000 0.002 0.003 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------