Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 2.0 Standard Deviation: 1.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 RMSE: 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 RMAE: 37.8 30.8 49.0 17.1 34.3 37.9 26.0 25.0 30.6 CORR: 0.702 0.673 0.662 0.902 0.699 0.704 0.833 0.878 0.804 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 3.5 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 0.2 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.3 1.2 1.5 0.4 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.8 1.1 RMSE: 1.5 1.9 1.7 0.7 1.6 1.5 1.2 1.0 1.2 RMAE: 50.5 40.7 65.2 18.6 45.6 51.6 35.2 32.4 42.0 CORR: 0.455 0.334 0.189 0.920 0.399 0.414 0.712 0.846 0.698 Pval: 0.017 0.088 0.344 0.000 0.039 0.032 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 5.1 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.3 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.1 0.9 1.4 0.5 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.9 RMSE: 1.3 1.5 1.6 0.7 1.4 1.4 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMAE: 26.8 25.7 33.4 9.0 26.3 28.4 19.5 16.5 22.5 CORR: 0.642 0.569 0.462 0.915 0.618 0.615 0.807 0.877 0.774 Pval: 0.000 0.002 0.015 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 7.0 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.0 0.1 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.2 1.0 1.5 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.1 RMSE: 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.3 RMAE: 18.5 14.8 24.1 11.5 16.7 18.7 14.7 14.7 16.6 CORR: 0.571 0.537 0.364 0.769 0.558 0.549 0.695 0.763 0.672 Pval: 0.002 0.004 0.062 0.000 0.002 0.003 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 8.6 Standard Deviation: 2.3 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.8 RMSE: 1.1 1.2 1.2 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.8 1.0 RMAE: 12.0 11.3 14.7 7.6 11.5 12.5 9.8 9.0 10.6 CORR: 0.871 0.839 0.850 0.939 0.863 0.868 0.913 0.930 0.905 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 9.6 Standard Deviation: 2.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.0 0.2 -0.0 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.5 1.2 1.8 0.3 1.4 1.5 1.0 0.8 1.2 RMSE: 1.7 2.0 2.0 0.6 1.8 1.7 1.3 1.0 1.4 RMAE: 15.8 13.4 19.7 3.6 14.6 16.0 10.7 9.3 12.7 CORR: 0.615 0.484 0.512 0.967 0.576 0.608 0.830 0.909 0.800 Pval: 0.001 0.011 0.006 0.000 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 9.0 Standard Deviation: 2.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.2 0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.1 0.9 1.6 0.4 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.9 RMSE: 1.4 1.5 1.8 0.6 1.4 1.4 1.1 0.9 1.1 RMAE: 12.3 9.8 19.5 4.5 11.1 13.1 8.3 7.8 10.6 CORR: 0.735 0.709 0.503 0.959 0.727 0.725 0.852 0.906 0.832 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.007 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 7.5 Standard Deviation: 2.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.2 -0.2 -0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 MAE: 0.9 0.8 1.7 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.8 RMSE: 1.2 1.5 2.0 0.4 1.3 1.4 0.9 0.7 1.1 RMAE: 13.1 10.9 26.3 4.6 12.0 15.1 8.8 7.7 11.6 CORR: 0.778 0.687 0.734 0.976 0.755 0.757 0.890 0.936 0.847 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 5.8 Standard Deviation: 2.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.0 -0.4 -0.0 0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 -0.1 MAE: 1.3 1.0 1.5 0.4 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.7 1.0 RMSE: 1.5 1.8 1.7 0.6 1.6 1.5 1.1 0.9 1.2 RMAE: 26.7 22.9 29.2 9.7 24.8 26.2 18.2 16.5 20.8 CORR: 0.700 0.650 0.626 0.958 0.682 0.695 0.844 0.915 0.828 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 4.0 Standard Deviation: 1.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.0 0.2 0.0 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.9 0.8 1.4 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.9 RMSE: 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.1 RMAE: 29.0 23.1 49.5 25.6 26.1 32.2 25.6 26.9 30.3 CORR: 0.805 0.771 0.568 0.862 0.796 0.786 0.826 0.844 0.817 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.4 Standard Deviation: 1.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.4 -0.0 0.0 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 MAE: 0.9 0.8 1.3 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.8 RMSE: 1.1 1.3 1.5 0.4 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.9 RMAE: 52.4 38.3 74.1 16.5 45.3 52.4 35.1 33.5 43.0 CORR: 0.736 0.693 0.611 0.968 0.725 0.725 0.878 0.923 0.838 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 1.4 Standard Deviation: 1.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 RMSE: 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.7 RMAE: 29.7 20.3 54.7 21.0 24.8 31.2 20.9 21.3 25.3 CORR: 0.672 0.568 0.540 0.940 0.648 0.663 0.849 0.903 0.813 Pval: 0.000 0.002 0.004 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------