Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 0.7 Standard Deviation: 0.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.6 -0.7 -0.1 -0.4 -0.6 -0.5 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 MAE: 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 RMSE: 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 RMAE: 87.8 100.0 56.5 74.5 93.9 81.4 87.4 81.1 79.7 CORR: -0.388 -99.000 -0.602 -0.394 -0.388 -0.561 -0.407 -0.407 -0.553 Pval: 0.390 -99.000 0.152 0.382 0.390 0.190 0.365 0.365 0.198 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 0.7 Standard Deviation: 0.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.3 -0.7 0.3 -0.2 -0.5 -0.2 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 MAE: 0.8 0.7 0.6 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.8 RMSE: 0.9 1.0 0.8 1.3 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.1 0.9 RMAE: 73.7 100.0 12.5 100.0 86.8 62.1 91.2 86.8 71.5 CORR: -0.712 -99.000 NaN -0.828 -0.712 -0.712 -0.827 -0.827 -0.827 Pval: 0.073 -99.000 NaN 0.021 0.073 0.073 0.022 0.022 0.022 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 0.4 Standard Deviation: 0.7 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.6 MAE: 1.0 1.1 1.2 0.5 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.9 RMSE: 1.2 1.3 1.4 0.6 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMAE: 26.4 23.3 45.3 44.9 24.8 29.6 31.5 35.6 28.5 CORR: -0.122 -0.217 -0.190 0.499 -0.172 -0.182 -0.047 0.086 -0.100 Pval: 0.795 0.640 0.683 0.255 0.713 0.696 0.921 0.855 0.831 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 1.7 Standard Deviation: 0.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.3 -0.0 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 MAE: 0.8 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.7 RMSE: 0.9 0.8 1.5 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.8 RMAE: 48.4 47.5 76.1 41.9 47.7 53.7 37.6 36.6 46.0 CORR: 0.415 0.503 0.513 0.575 0.462 0.490 0.679 0.685 0.639 Pval: 0.355 0.250 0.239 0.177 0.297 0.264 0.093 0.090 0.122 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 3.4 Standard Deviation: 1.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.6 -0.1 -0.1 -0.3 -0.4 -0.2 MAE: 1.1 1.1 1.8 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 RMSE: 1.3 1.6 2.0 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.3 RMAE: 30.5 35.9 60.2 27.8 33.2 27.9 29.3 27.0 26.3 CORR: 0.362 -0.148 0.358 0.203 0.169 0.365 0.223 0.376 0.376 Pval: 0.425 0.751 0.430 0.662 0.717 0.421 0.630 0.406 0.406 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 5.3 Standard Deviation: 2.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.8 -1.2 0.8 -0.7 -1.0 -0.4 -0.9 -0.8 -0.5 MAE: 1.8 2.0 2.5 2.9 1.9 1.9 2.2 2.3 2.1 RMSE: 2.6 2.8 2.6 3.9 2.7 2.5 3.0 3.1 2.7 RMAE: 31.5 33.5 55.3 60.0 32.0 36.1 40.6 44.3 40.4 CORR: 0.075 0.047 0.088 -0.395 0.057 0.098 -0.305 -0.367 -0.303 Pval: 0.872 0.920 0.851 0.381 0.904 0.835 0.506 0.418 0.509 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 6.0 Standard Deviation: 2.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 0.0 -0.5 -0.5 -0.3 -0.3 -0.4 MAE: 2.5 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 RMSE: 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 RMAE: 44.2 41.1 48.5 50.5 42.6 44.6 45.2 47.3 46.1 CORR: -0.217 -0.043 -0.176 -0.234 -0.129 -0.195 -0.191 -0.246 -0.241 Pval: 0.641 0.927 0.706 0.614 0.783 0.676 0.682 0.595 0.603 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 5.6 Standard Deviation: 2.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.9 -0.7 -1.7 -0.8 -0.8 -1.1 -0.8 -0.9 -1.0 MAE: 1.8 1.6 2.4 1.9 1.7 1.9 1.6 1.7 1.8 RMSE: 2.3 2.0 2.5 2.3 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.2 RMAE: 40.9 36.5 53.3 40.5 38.3 42.5 37.0 38.7 40.6 CORR: 0.267 0.377 0.454 -0.175 0.321 0.405 0.284 0.204 0.381 Pval: 0.563 0.405 0.306 0.708 0.483 0.368 0.536 0.662 0.399 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 4.9 Standard Deviation: 1.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.5 -0.7 -0.0 -0.1 -0.6 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 -0.3 MAE: 1.4 1.2 1.5 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.0 1.1 RMSE: 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.4 RMAE: 31.2 25.6 34.0 30.5 28.4 28.9 24.7 24.7 25.6 CORR: 0.602 0.640 0.559 0.735 0.626 0.609 0.726 0.740 0.709 Pval: 0.153 0.122 0.192 0.060 0.133 0.147 0.065 0.057 0.074 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 3.9 Standard Deviation: 1.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.6 -0.4 0.1 -1.2 -0.5 -0.3 -0.7 -0.9 -0.5 MAE: 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.7 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.1 RMSE: 1.3 1.2 1.5 2.0 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.3 RMAE: 25.8 28.0 46.3 51.3 26.9 31.5 31.1 35.1 26.3 CORR: 0.692 0.674 0.579 0.003 0.686 0.654 0.646 0.615 0.632 Pval: 0.085 0.097 0.173 0.995 0.089 0.111 0.117 0.141 0.128 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.7 Standard Deviation: 1.8 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.7 -0.8 0.2 -1.1 -0.7 -0.4 -0.8 -0.9 -0.6 MAE: 1.4 1.6 1.2 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.4 RMSE: 1.7 1.8 1.6 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.6 RMAE: 52.6 62.8 73.2 43.7 57.7 62.8 46.5 38.7 53.2 CORR: 0.608 0.448 0.518 0.450 0.533 0.551 0.697 0.813 0.642 Pval: 0.148 0.313 0.234 0.312 0.218 0.199 0.082 0.026 0.120 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 2.0 Standard Deviation: 1.5 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -1.4 -2.0 -0.0 -1.6 -1.7 -1.1 -1.7 -1.5 -1.3 MAE: 1.7 2.0 1.4 2.0 1.9 1.4 1.9 1.8 1.6 RMSE: 2.0 2.5 1.5 2.3 2.2 1.9 2.2 2.1 2.0 RMAE: 76.5 100.0 72.2 91.1 88.3 49.6 89.2 83.8 60.0 CORR: 0.313 -99.000 NaN -0.039 0.313 0.313 0.108 0.108 0.108 Pval: 0.495 -99.000 NaN 0.934 0.495 0.495 0.818 0.818 0.818 ------------------------------------------------