Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 2.0 Standard Deviation: 1.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 -0.1 MAE: 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 RMSE: 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 RMAE: 37.5 31.8 55.1 24.1 34.6 38.1 29.5 28.4 33.2 CORR: 0.837 0.811 0.752 0.926 0.831 0.827 0.888 0.906 0.872 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 3.7 Standard Deviation: 2.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 MAE: 0.9 0.8 1.4 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.8 RMSE: 1.2 1.2 1.5 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.0 RMAE: 32.0 30.8 45.1 22.8 31.2 34.7 26.8 25.0 29.0 CORR: 0.832 0.820 0.706 0.895 0.829 0.817 0.885 0.903 0.870 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 5.4 Standard Deviation: 2.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.9 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 RMSE: 1.2 1.2 1.4 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.0 RMAE: 19.2 19.1 24.1 15.9 19.2 19.9 16.6 16.3 17.5 CORR: 0.821 0.793 0.768 0.912 0.814 0.817 0.877 0.897 0.865 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 7.2 Standard Deviation: 2.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.3 -0.3 -0.0 0.2 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 -0.0 MAE: 1.0 0.9 1.2 0.6 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.9 RMSE: 1.3 1.4 1.4 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMAE: 15.7 14.9 18.1 10.0 15.3 16.1 12.2 11.1 13.4 CORR: 0.792 0.773 0.777 0.927 0.787 0.789 0.871 0.902 0.852 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 8.9 Standard Deviation: 2.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 -0.3 0.0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.0 0.0 -0.1 MAE: 1.1 1.1 1.5 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.1 RMSE: 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.3 RMAE: 14.4 13.5 17.6 12.0 13.9 14.9 13.0 12.7 13.7 CORR: 0.850 0.827 0.791 0.872 0.844 0.839 0.866 0.876 0.860 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 9.8 Standard Deviation: 2.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.1 -0.3 -0.0 0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 -0.1 MAE: 1.0 0.9 1.4 0.5 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.9 RMSE: 1.3 1.4 1.6 0.6 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMAE: 11.3 10.4 14.8 5.4 10.8 11.7 8.4 7.4 9.6 CORR: 0.861 0.845 0.806 0.968 0.857 0.858 0.922 0.945 0.909 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 9.3 Standard Deviation: 2.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.9 0.8 1.4 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.8 RMSE: 1.2 1.3 1.6 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMAE: 11.1 10.5 16.5 7.8 10.8 12.0 9.4 8.9 10.2 CORR: 0.874 0.857 0.829 0.939 0.870 0.866 0.909 0.922 0.897 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 7.6 Standard Deviation: 2.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 MAE: 1.2 1.0 1.9 0.7 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.8 1.1 RMSE: 1.6 1.7 2.2 0.9 1.6 1.7 1.3 1.1 1.4 RMAE: 17.3 14.6 27.9 9.1 15.8 18.8 12.7 11.9 15.8 CORR: 0.758 0.729 0.514 0.935 0.750 0.732 0.860 0.901 0.831 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 5.9 Standard Deviation: 2.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.2 -0.1 -0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.9 0.8 1.6 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.9 RMSE: 1.2 1.3 1.7 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.0 0.9 1.1 RMAE: 21.9 21.3 34.1 14.7 21.5 24.0 18.1 16.9 20.6 CORR: 0.862 0.849 0.757 0.934 0.858 0.847 0.903 0.920 0.885 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 4.0 Standard Deviation: 2.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.3 0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 MAE: 1.0 0.9 1.4 0.7 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.9 RMSE: 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.2 RMAE: 30.2 23.8 42.7 21.9 26.8 30.3 21.2 21.2 23.5 CORR: 0.821 0.792 0.792 0.908 0.813 0.814 0.876 0.898 0.861 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.3 Standard Deviation: 1.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 -0.1 0.4 0.0 -0.0 0.1 -0.0 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.9 0.9 1.4 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.8 RMSE: 1.2 1.3 1.6 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.8 1.0 RMAE: 44.8 38.8 76.3 33.8 41.8 49.7 36.0 35.1 41.1 CORR: 0.740 0.726 0.647 0.898 0.737 0.725 0.877 0.905 0.834 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 1.4 Standard Deviation: 1.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 MAE: 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 RMSE: 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 RMAE: 35.1 36.7 52.8 27.6 35.6 37.5 29.4 26.7 33.2 CORR: 0.810 0.753 0.728 0.886 0.792 0.806 0.849 0.872 0.843 Pval: 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------