Verification results for the TC forecast using dependent datasets Input file: VES Mon: 01 Mean TC-count: 2.0 Standard Deviation: 1.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.3 0.5 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 0.9 0.8 1.2 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.9 RMSE: 1.2 1.3 1.5 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.0 1.1 RMAE: 49.0 40.4 77.0 36.3 44.1 54.0 40.6 41.1 48.9 CORR: 0.400 0.363 0.346 0.787 0.390 0.379 0.639 0.717 0.554 Pval: 0.011 0.021 0.029 0.000 0.013 0.016 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 02 Mean TC-count: 3.7 Standard Deviation: 2.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.3 0.5 -0.1 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.6 1.5 2.1 1.0 1.5 1.7 1.3 1.2 1.5 RMSE: 2.0 2.1 2.5 1.4 2.0 2.1 1.7 1.5 1.8 RMAE: 54.6 48.5 73.6 36.2 51.3 56.6 45.2 43.6 50.4 CORR: 0.276 0.160 0.191 0.753 0.244 0.232 0.699 0.737 0.523 Pval: 0.084 0.325 0.237 0.000 0.128 0.150 0.000 0.000 0.001 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 03 Mean TC-count: 5.4 Standard Deviation: 2.0 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 0.3 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 MAE: 1.5 1.4 1.9 1.0 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.4 RMSE: 1.9 2.0 2.4 1.4 1.9 2.0 1.7 1.6 1.8 RMAE: 32.9 31.4 41.6 23.6 32.0 33.4 28.8 27.6 30.4 CORR: 0.319 0.280 0.310 0.725 0.310 0.312 0.615 0.670 0.499 Pval: 0.045 0.080 0.052 0.000 0.052 0.050 0.000 0.000 0.001 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 04 Mean TC-count: 7.2 Standard Deviation: 2.1 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 0.2 0.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.5 1.4 2.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.3 1.3 1.4 RMSE: 1.9 2.0 2.3 1.6 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.8 RMAE: 22.4 21.7 29.9 18.4 22.1 23.0 20.5 20.2 21.6 CORR: 0.428 0.334 0.374 0.661 0.403 0.423 0.568 0.614 0.523 Pval: 0.006 0.035 0.017 0.000 0.010 0.007 0.000 0.000 0.001 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 05 Mean TC-count: 8.9 Standard Deviation: 2.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.2 -0.1 -0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 -0.0 0.0 MAE: 1.7 1.6 2.3 0.9 1.6 1.7 1.3 1.2 1.5 RMSE: 2.2 2.2 2.8 1.2 2.2 2.2 1.7 1.5 1.9 RMAE: 20.9 20.7 29.9 11.8 20.6 21.0 17.0 15.5 18.2 CORR: 0.538 0.513 0.451 0.879 0.531 0.518 0.754 0.821 0.679 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.003 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 06 Mean TC-count: 9.8 Standard Deviation: 2.6 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 0.4 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.0 -0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.7 1.7 2.4 1.1 1.7 1.8 1.4 1.3 1.5 RMSE: 2.2 2.2 2.9 1.4 2.2 2.3 1.8 1.6 1.9 RMAE: 18.9 18.4 26.8 12.6 18.7 19.9 16.1 15.1 17.1 CORR: 0.547 0.510 0.436 0.843 0.537 0.515 0.755 0.813 0.681 Pval: 0.000 0.001 0.005 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 07 Mean TC-count: 9.3 Standard Deviation: 2.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.4 -0.5 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 -0.3 MAE: 1.6 1.6 3.0 1.0 1.6 1.9 1.3 1.2 1.6 RMSE: 2.2 2.3 3.3 1.6 2.2 2.3 1.9 1.8 2.1 RMAE: 20.5 18.7 34.6 12.6 19.6 22.3 16.4 15.3 19.3 CORR: 0.462 0.377 0.049 0.746 0.442 0.335 0.665 0.716 0.574 Pval: 0.003 0.016 0.765 0.000 0.004 0.035 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 08 Mean TC-count: 7.6 Standard Deviation: 2.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.0 1.1 -0.1 0.0 0.4 -0.0 -0.1 0.3 MAE: 1.5 1.5 3.0 1.2 1.5 1.8 1.3 1.3 1.6 RMSE: 2.2 2.2 3.4 1.6 2.2 2.3 1.9 1.7 2.0 RMAE: 24.4 23.6 45.4 16.9 23.8 28.2 20.7 19.6 24.5 CORR: 0.466 0.412 0.089 0.775 0.452 0.372 0.670 0.732 0.597 Pval: 0.002 0.008 0.586 0.000 0.003 0.018 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 09 Mean TC-count: 5.9 Standard Deviation: 2.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 1.0 -0.1 -0.1 0.3 -0.1 -0.0 0.2 MAE: 1.5 1.5 3.0 1.2 1.5 1.8 1.3 1.3 1.6 RMSE: 2.0 2.1 3.4 1.7 2.0 2.2 1.9 1.8 2.0 RMAE: 41.6 40.2 70.1 32.3 40.9 48.0 37.1 35.7 43.0 CORR: 0.519 0.503 0.046 0.683 0.515 0.398 0.619 0.654 0.532 Pval: 0.001 0.001 0.778 0.000 0.001 0.011 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 10 Mean TC-count: 4.0 Standard Deviation: 2.4 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 0.4 -0.3 -0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 -0.2 -0.1 MAE: 1.5 1.4 2.6 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.3 1.3 1.5 RMSE: 2.0 2.1 3.0 1.7 2.0 2.1 1.8 1.7 1.9 RMAE: 43.2 39.0 88.6 40.3 40.6 50.5 39.0 39.5 46.5 CORR: 0.522 0.476 0.250 0.728 0.508 0.476 0.647 0.696 0.586 Pval: 0.001 0.002 0.120 0.000 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 11 Mean TC-count: 2.3 Standard Deviation: 1.9 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.3 1.0 -0.1 -0.2 0.2 -0.1 -0.0 0.1 MAE: 1.4 1.3 1.9 0.8 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.0 1.2 RMSE: 1.8 1.9 2.3 1.0 1.8 1.8 1.4 1.2 1.5 RMAE: 66.1 51.8 110.8 38.0 58.9 71.3 50.9 50.5 60.7 CORR: 0.314 0.206 0.238 0.851 0.272 0.274 0.714 0.816 0.596 Pval: 0.048 0.202 0.139 0.000 0.090 0.088 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------ Input file: VES Mon: 12 Mean TC-count: 1.4 Standard Deviation: 1.2 ID/Model MLR LAD LMV ANN E12 E123 E124 E14 E1234 ME: -0.0 -0.1 0.8 0.1 -0.1 0.2 -0.0 0.0 0.2 MAE: 1.0 0.9 1.2 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.9 RMSE: 1.2 1.4 1.5 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.0 1.1 RMAE: 35.9 29.3 51.1 24.5 32.0 33.8 28.1 28.3 30.4 CORR: 0.178 -0.030 0.042 0.704 0.054 0.058 0.612 0.656 0.549 Pval: 0.273 0.856 0.795 0.000 0.743 0.722 0.000 0.000 0.000 ------------------------------------------------